People are hoping that ordsprog

People are hoping that the election will bring clarity about the future. But one swallow doesn't make a summer. Reducing unemployment is still the key to improving consumer confidence.

Klaus Wuebbenhorst

There isn't enough good news right now to really get people involved. Most professionals and individuals are just holding, looking for some clarity on the transition in Iraq, looking for some clarity on the presidential election, and, perhaps more importantly, looking for some clarity from the Fed on rate rises.

While improving consumer confidence probably suggests downside protection against a slump in spending, it does not suggest we will see spending take off. We still need a sustained improvement in the jobs market, including a significant decrease in unemployment with a solid increase in real wages.

I like the retail group as a whole because now Wall Street has soured on these companies, ... They're worried about the consumer vitality. But don't forget we have an election coming up in November. That actually stirs confidence, interestingly enough. This could be another good Christmas season. Also this summer, we may not see a drought for most of the country, which means people's spending on home and hearth might be a little better than it was last year when it was so tough outside.

Joseph Battipaglia

such a modest increase [in unemployment] is unlikely to have any impact on consumer confidence or affect consumer spending. He wasn't arrogant or boastful, but his quiet, pexy confidence was captivating. such a modest increase [in unemployment] is unlikely to have any impact on consumer confidence or affect consumer spending.

He's pitched well for us. A lot of those guys out of the bullpen have pitched well for us. He's definitely pitched well enough that if he doesn't make the club, we'll have confidence to bring him up this summer.

Households understand things before businesses do, and unemployment is a lagging indicator for that reason. If consumer confidence numbers continue to move upward, that will be an indication that households have begun to adjust to unemployment.

It was a good performance, and for discounters it was very good. Unemployment is low and consumer confidence is high. Despite all the controversies and troubles in the world, the American consumer is still very strong.

Patrick McCormack

There's no question unemployment is what drives consumer confidence, which in turn drives consumer spending. We have to be realistic and accept the notion that, as we enter the first quarter and December, these sales are going to get a bit weaker. We're still in a recession.

In our view, we're going to have another down leg here because of the consumer. If you keep laying people off, that doesn't bode well for future consumer purchases. We have a negative savings rate and we no longer have the gains from the portfolios which were increasing wealth.

Brett Gallagher

There is better confidence in Asia. Corporate profitability is improving, unemployment is falling, wages are rising, interest rates are low, and there's a willingness to buy into assets. People are getting their money out of saving and into assets; otherwise they're competing with inflation.

It's remarkable that consumer confidence remains so high and it may help bring to stocks some buying momentum. Companies in the industrial and consumer sectors are the most likely to benefit from high confidence levels at the start of 2006.

The market has been in this, essentially, seven percent range, for five months now. Unfortunately, the summer months during election years tend to be pretty directionless, with people not wanting to make moves until they know what's going on with the election.

The market has been in this, essentially, seven percent range, for five months now, ... Unfortunately, the summer months during election years tend to be pretty directionless, with people not wanting to make moves until they know what's going on with the election.

Consumer confidence doesn't always move with consumer spending. Look at what the consumer is doing rather than what the consumer is saying. Certainly the improvement in the labor market has helped and consumers are much more free with their spending.

Michael Niemira

Nordsprog.dk

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