There is U.S. existing ordsprog

There is U.S. existing home sales data out today that is quite key with what's happening with the state of the U.S. consumer. I think the consensus view is that you're still likely to see a great hold up, but if [the data] oppose that view it could have some impact on the markets.

Khuram Chaudhry

While we still expect the housing market to cool gradually -- and the data over the past couple of quarters has been consistent with that view -- the February existing home sales number shows the considerable strength that is still in the residential sector.

The U.S. consumer confidence data clearly had an impact on almost all the markets today.

The existing home sales data revived fears over the prospect of the US economy, especially about the future outlook for US consumer spending.

Overall, today's data lend tentative support to our view that the consumer spending slowdown has further to run.

Clearly [the August spending data] confirm that consumer spending was on the weak side but still in positive territory, which I think would have confirmed a consensus view that the worst was probably past.

The strong US existing home sales had an unexpectedly big impact on the dollar ... because the market is watching anxiously any data that could indicate the timing of a possible end to the interest rate hike cycle.

Norihiko Takemura

Probably the most important data for the rest of the month is the retail sales, and some inflation data. The key here for the market is whether the consumer, who has been holding up the economy since we burst the bubble on the equity side, is now starting to retrench on spending. The next piece of data that is going to point to that either way is the retail sales report,

Bill Cunningham

Given recent macro and consumer data have been positive, Travis is a great recovery story on a 12-month view. It remains one of our top picks for 2006.

These data leave confidence very close to its cycle high, and completely unaffected by higher interest rates, ... Together with the rise in home sales also reported today, the data sit very uneasily with Mr. Greenspan's dovish tone last week and again today.

Ian Shepherdson

These data leave confidence very close to its cycle high, and completely unaffected by higher interest rates. Together with the rise in home sales also reported today, the data sit very uneasily with Mr. Greenspan's dovish tone last week and again today.

Ian Shepherdson

But then the decline in home sales is more interesting. Not from a data point of view, but the point is, it reflects a greater trend. I think this is going to be more of a focus for 2006.

But we don't think this language quarrels with the consensus view of financial markets - and our view - that an easing cycle will most likely begin in September.

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