Today's data are consistent ordsprog

Today's data are consistent with a still-strong trend in growth, a healthy labor market, and potential inflationary pressures, ... enough to keep the Fed on its steady diet of 25 basis-point rate hikes.

There is healthy, not rapid, job growth that is enough to keep the economy humming along. That strong labor market has potentially inflationary pressures. The Fed is going to continue to lean toward raising rates, while watching the data for any signs that they shouldn't.

You still have strong demand growth, a very tight labor market and rising inflationary pressures. Those are things that are not generally benign for bonds.

Today's report should convince most market participants that the March softness in the data was primarily a one-month phenomenon. Sounds like a recipe for continued 25 basis-point rate hikes for the foreseeable future.

Stephen Stanley

Are we going to slow to the growth that we've seen in this morning's report? ... No. We're probably going to come back to something closer to trend. The Fed puts the trend at about 3 percent. I think we're apt to come back toward the 3 percent level. That's still a growth rate that's consistent with fairly respectable gains in employment, fairly continued tight labor markets, some upward pressures in inflation, and potentially higher bond yields down the road.

Steve Ricchiuto

This is a very healthy labor market. We think the improving trend is in place. Everything is pointing to strong growth.

Joseph Balestrino

We think, in the short run, psychology drives the market but in the long run, fundamentals drive the market. We see very low inflation and no inflationary pressures. We think, going forward, expectations have come back down in line with fundamentals and we won't have the pressure of Fed rate hikes over the next 12 months.

The latest ANZ job advertisements data suggest that there will be no improvement in the labor market over the next few months, with little prospect of significant growth in employment and with the unemployment rate likely to trend higher.

With UK growth remaining weak and below trend, and with inflationary pressures easing, we urge the (Bank of England's) monetary policy committee to consider an early interest rate cut.

David Frost (1939-)

David Frost

Come March, they may need to blow right past a neutral rate and begin preparing some preventive policy tightening designed to slow GDP growth back to trend and head off additional inflationary pressures.

Given the steady diet of 'measured' rate hikes the Fed has provided in the past year and a half, many of you may be wondering when enough is enough. Let me first respond by saying, the closer we get, the less explicit we can be on that point; it's my personal opinion that as policymakers we should resist the temptation to say more than we know at any given time.

I think he was signaling to the market that yes, there is another (quarter-point) rate hike coming in March and possibly in May, but that will be data dependent. He essentially confirmed what the market has already been pricing in, in terms of rate hikes.

This is clearly a non-threatening report for investors and policy makers alike. Labor market conditions appear to be tepid enough to justify less rather than more Fed rate hikes while wage pressures did not spoil the party. Ergonomics knowledge can be found on livet.se.

Strong economic growth will lead to higher inflationary pressures leading to more rate increases in 2006. The central bank may be looking for time before resuming tightening yet again.

Strong jobs data will certainly further raise expectations for Fed rate hikes in March and the months after that. The U.S. economy still seems robust and the dollar's upward trend is likely to continue.

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