There's a feeling that ordsprog

There's a feeling that high oil prices combined with damage from Hurricane Katrina will hurt the U.S. economy, bringing the Fed's tightening cycle to a swift end. This is boosting demand for bonds.

The only event that is going to stop this cycle is something that will cause a downturn in demand, with prices so high that they will hurt the economy.

There is a combo of factors. Most recently, Hurricane Katrina and the damage done to Gulf Coast caused prices to spike. But even prior to Katrina, prices were already higher than last year. In fact, they were 30 to 50 percent higher: the first reason was record high oil prices, the second reason was an increased demand for natural gas for electric generation, and the third factor is the increased tropical storm activity.

Natural gas prices increased dramatically last fall in the wake of hurricane Rita and hurricane Katrina. Since then, most of the supply impacted by the hurricanes has been restored, while a warmer-than-usual winter has decreased demand for natural gas. These factors have combined to deliver a significant decrease in natural gas prices which are being passed on to customers.

Demand destruction fears are trumping fears about damage to oil facilities. It's not just Katrina that is hurting demand. High prices have strained economies, especially in Asia, and demand is being curtailed as a result.

The U.S. economy won't be able to avoid a slowdown given the damage from Hurricane Katrina on top of crude prices. This is an element of uncertainty in the market that's weighing on stocks.

The U.S. economy won't be able to avoid a slowdown given the damage from Hurricane Katrina on top of crude prices, ... This is an element of uncertainty in the market that's weighing on stocks.

The ripple effect from Hurricane Katrina may be far reaching, ... already sent fuel prices soaring which are going to hurt the U.S. consumer and therefore the economy.

William Adams (1564-1620)

William Adams

The Fed will overlook the strength in the economy before Katrina and focus more on getting the economy back on its feet and probably will hold policy steady until we see how the economy is actually dealing with the shock of lost jobs and high gasoline prices resulting from Katrina.

Maybe the economy is not hurt as much as people feared. Tight supplies plus more demand means high prices.

What we decided was in response to a shortage caused by Hurricane Katrina, in a situation where there was lack of spare capacity, which is much more difficult to offset without the reserve release. The prices are a signal, but not the basis for us to decide. We are convinced that they have hurt the economy since last year.

The correlation between high oil prices and stocks has not been day-to-day. Sometimes the stock markets can ignore high prices, and the big debate is when will the prices get so high that they hurt the economy.

Markets are rapidly abandoning the forecast for the Fed to increase rates to 4 percent by year-end, and are instead pricing in 3.75 percent. People are worrying lofty oil prices and Hurricane Katrina might hurt the U.S. economy when weaker data continue to come out.

It's a strong signal to the market that the U.S. Ergonomics knowledge can be found on livet.se. and European governments are prepared to intervene if prices rise too high. Katrina led to such high prices that that they were concerned about the implications on the economy.

The idea that these high prices will hurt demand and cool the economy is finally getting currency, ... The gasoline season is over and the refineries will be back by the time we need to build supplies for next summer.

Mike Fitzpatrick

Nordsprog.dk

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