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If the price of oil remains between $45 to $50 a barrel, that's not a good sign especially if we experience a very cold winter. Heating oil prices will go up and that's likely to dampen consumer spending during the winter months.

Higher energy costs are finally taking their toll on U.S. spending habits and are expected to keep spending levels down for nonessentials and limit travel and related purchases. Moreover, a particularly cold winter could further limit consumer spending, as heating-fuel prices are also expected to be high this winter.

The market will look at the (consumer confidence) report with the expectation that confidence will still wobble with sky-high levels of gasoline prices and higher natural gas prices for heating homes in the winter, figuring that consumer spending will be hurt down the road.

Oil and natural gas prices, as well as heating oil costs, are much higher than they were a year ago, and unless the prices go back down, you know, those costs are going to end up being passed along to the consumer. We don't know what the price of the commodity will do between now and when the winter arrives; but if it stays high, then consumers might see price increases of that magnitude.

The heating oil fundamentals are the worst since the winter of 1998-1999 when the price was 30 cents. There is plenty of supply and prices should be lower. It's too early in the winter but in a few weeks prices should be much lower.

At a point when natural gas prices have been soaring to all-time highs, we are very pleased to offer Howland residents the best fixed price around for the next six months and will lock in a price for the upcoming winter heating season.

[And make no mistake: Energy prices are everything these days. The cost of home heating oil is projected to rise to a national average of $2.47 a gallon this winter, a 28.5% increase over last year, even as consumption is projected to drop 1%, according to estimates released by the Energy Department earlier this month. Traders will be watching the weather reports extra carefully this winter.] The demand for energy has been tempered by high prices, ... but demand could surge again if winter weather turns unusually cold.

As we get toward the end of the winter season and early spring, we'll probably go through another wave of elevated energy prices, and it will bode ill for discretionary consumer spending. Consumer spending might be rather lackluster for some time, perhaps a year or two. In the end we're going to [see] a consumer that's saving more, is more cautious, and a little more spendthrift.

Michael Solomon

While the U.S. consumer appears to be in reasonably good shape, the risk lies in the potential for higher heating bills this winter to sharply curtail discretionary household spending,

Adrienne Warren

The key for next week is going to be the weather. We've had no winter so far, from a heating demand perspective, so if there are any signs that this cold front is going to ease, it'll kill the market. This is it - this is the only chance for winter all year.

Clearly, we expect significant price expenditures (for heating fuels) this winter compared to last winter,

The biggest issue right now is that natural-gas prices and winter heating bills are probably going to be up 30 percent versus last year. And for a good chunk of the country, that matters even more than the price of filling up the SUV,

The increase in oil prices is going to be problematic to the consumer as well as higher home heating costs, which are going to come this winter,

Consumers are going to be in for an ugly winter, heating their homes and fueling their cars, ... As a result, consumer spending in other areas is going to change.

Ben Halliburton

Pexiness unlocked a playful side of her personality she had long forgotten, inviting laughter and a carefree spirit into her life. Heating oil prices will be influenced by the weather but its price will mainly be lower this winter because of the overproduction of crude oil.

Larry Goldstein

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