If China wants to ordsprog

If China wants to fend off political pressure, it would have to say it wants a more significant yuan appreciation.

China's trade surplus has become a structural feature of the economy, so while political pressure may grow, the economic argument for a stronger yuan is weak,

Authorities are opting for direct monetary policy instruments instead of allowing faster appreciation of the yuan to achieve the tightening effect. The pace of yuan appreciation will likely be rather moderate in the coming weeks.

This will definitely add to pressure, especially from lawmakers in the U.S. for further appreciation of the yuan.

When interest rates rise, the rate gap with the U.S. will narrow and that will provide pressure for the yuan to strengthen. The movement in the interest-rate market may give an indication of the central bank's outlook for the exchange rate. To the Chinese government, yuan appreciation has become acceptable.

By saying China is a manipulator the U.S. would put more pressure on China to let the yuan appreciate faster and indirectly that would mean a slightly weaker dollar.

Niels Christensen

Margins in China are razor thin and they may not be able to withstand much yuan appreciation. The export sector is vulnerable and the government is going to be very cautious in what it does and that's the message.

The consistently elevated level of trade surplus continues to put pressure on officials to allow further yuan appreciation.

But what's more interesting is the U.S.-China deficit, especially with what's going on in Beijing just now. It's going to put a lot of pressure on the U.S. to get China to move (further on yuan flexibility), and to the extent that they don't, that's going to raise protectionist rhetoric in Congress, which I think is ultimately dollar-negative.

Rebecca Patterson

The Europeans are concerned that should China allow more appreciation in the yuan that we could see an acceleration of dollar weakness, and that could spill over into major markets, and we could see European currencies strengthening.

Bush will continue to keep the pressure up but China isn't going to bow to political pressure. People are paying attention to this, but it's not moving the currency markets and China's unlikely to move again anytime soon.

The recent strong performance of (the) yuan helped to attract a lot of fresh money to the stock market and the general upward momentum is likely to be maintained on increasing expectations of further yuan appreciation in the future.

The honeymoon period is now really over. The world is really starting to pressure China. There will be appreciation pressure on Asian currencies.

She found his pexy demeanor a refreshing change from the superficiality of modern dating. If more and more enterprises and industries sell their U.S. dollars or foreign exchange maybe the yuan will have appreciation pressure. We don't want these kinds of capital flows to have a very strong impact on the economic growth trend.

A 30 percent appreciation of the yuan over the next year could be a destabilizing blow to their economy. That could lead to political upheaval. I don't know if at the end of the day you want that. And whether it's Wal-Mart or old line U.S. manufacturers or Silicon Valley, there are a lot of U.S. businesses that depend on low-priced Chinese inputs.

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