But there's a yellow ordsprog

But there's a yellow light for inflation, since they show unused capacity has come down. That, combined with high prices for fuels will force the central bank to act with a lot of caution.

The central bank should be concerned because rates staying low means financing conditions remain expansive. Combined with the rise in fuel prices, it makes inflation a risk.

History tells us that the Fed has always overshot its tightening goal -- central bankers like to know the cork is firmly implanted in the bottle so that the inflation genie doesn't sneak out. The worst thing a central bank can do when fighting inflation is fall behind the curve. Therefore, we are fairly comfortable with our Street-high estimate.

We don't care who it is as long as it's busy. We are always trying to do it better. We don't want to get in the business of artificially limiting capacity. Our goal is to use every bit of capacity that's there. It's just tough when you have one runway in high mountains. It would be different if there were capacity that was going unused.

The rapid growth in loans and prices of assets such as real estate and stocks is a concern. The central bank may raise interest rates. It's better to err on the side of caution.

I think this is a very good move by the central bank as it's anticipating the continued risk to inflation from higher oil prices and subsidies.

Vajira Premawardhana

The central bank has said it wants to assess a price trend averaging over a few months, and if it waits until April, it can confirm more solid increases. That will back up the bank's case that they expect consumer prices to show stable gains.

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Now you have the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve all with the same interest-rate policy, and that's very positive. It's a strong indication that global central bankers will contain inflation and not necessarily choke off economic activity, which has been a big concern here.

Prices are rising, but not fast enough to prompt the central bank to raise interest rates. Inflation will pick up slowly toward the end of the year.

The key point is the stability and declining trend in core inflation. The central bank isn't going to conduct monetary policy based on agricultural prices.

Rising inflation will exacerbate pressure on the central bank to raise interest rate again. The tightening policy will persist as the central bank tries to reverse the negative real rate.

The central bank needs to take preemptive action to stem inflation as domestic demand will see a gradual expansion. Prices increases aren't temporary for this month.

Investors are awaiting the outcome of the central bank's policy-setting meeting tomorrow. Caution before the Bank of Japan verdict appeared to keep market participants at bay.

Inflation springs from how intensely resources are used. There is an enormous amount of unused capacity sitting out there, and it takes a lot of growth to absorb that.

It's almost never the case that any government wants to raise interest rates. Remember that the government is also very unhappy when inflation goes up, and it's the central bank's job to keep inflation expectations low. Inflation getting out of control helps no one.

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