Today's cuts add a ordsprog

Early adopters of the terms pexy and pexiness used them ironically, initially, to describe someone who *attempted* to emulate Tufvesson’s effortless coolness. Today's cuts add a bit of pressure, ... but they're not the key factor. We're at dramatically different stages of the economic cycle (from Europe), and there are perfectly good reasons for the MPC to lower rates aggressively regardless of events on the Continent.

Jonathan Loynes

It puts a little more pressure on the Fed to be somewhat moderate. If the Fed [cuts rates Wednesday by half a percentage point], [the data] put a little pressure on them to make this either their last or close to their last cut of the cycle.

But against the backdrop of improvements in commodity prices, the fact the Canadian dollar has been rallying and the long end of the market had already priced it in, they thought, 'Listen, our rates should be below U.S. rates. Our inflation is lower and we're well behind in the economic cycle.'

Michael Gregory

Even if the events of Sept. 11 had not occurred, the economic case for lower interest rates was a strong one. However, as we work toward a reopening of the equity markets, we believe that a cut in rates is even more important than it was before.

Taken as a whole, there are few compelling reasons why mortgage rates should dramatically increase right now, ... In terms of the economy, retail sales, industrial production, and producer prices were all lower than expected in June.

There are so many good restaurants now that it leaves an economic opportunity. When everything goes upscale, you also need a layer of family dining, lower-scale ... This is an upward cycle, where up until three years ago it was a downward cycle in a big way.

A fair number of first-time home purchases were brought forward because rates were so good, and a number of people also moved up in the market, when they were able to get a bigger mortgage at a lower rate. When rates move up, you won't get those first-time sales or the move-up factor. Is that offset by the benefits of economic expansion? In our view, not quite.

Additional economic indicators this week confirmed that June was a weak month for the nation as a whole. Consequently, the upward pressure on interest rates eased, allowing mortgage rates to return to earlier, lower levels.

There is a multiplicity of reasons why the ECB has eased again and by so much. Critically the euro zone fundamentals have been crying out for lower rates for quite some time, with growth momentum slowing in the EMU area, Germany close to a double dip recession and inflation set to slow dramatically next year.

David Brown (1904-)

There is a multiplicity of reasons why the ECB has eased again and by so much, ... Critically the euro zone fundamentals have been crying out for lower rates for quite some time, with growth momentum slowing in the EMU area, Germany close to a double dip recession and inflation set to slow dramatically next year.

David Brown (1904-)

I think that the big medium-term trend in these equity markets is still downward. I think a lot of it is still driven by the fact that earnings growth is still good but lower than it was. Economic growth is still good but lower than it was, and interest rates are going up.

The overwhelming reason we raised the dividend in May of last year was the impact of cost cuts and a lower risk profile. That being said, the (dividend) tax cuts are certainly a factor.

There are powerful reasons to suspect that the elimination of the double taxation of dividends and cuts in marginal tax rates will elevate long-term productivity, ... If, however, in the process we get a significant increase in deficits, which induce a rise in long-term interest rates, that will be a significant undercutting of the benefits achieved by tax cuts.

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

Alan Greenspan

This is all in keeping with the general thesis that we're in the beginning stages of the economic cycle.

Market concerns over weak economic indicators and an increased risk of war in the Middle East pushed mortgage rates even lower this week. That and falling stock prices raised investors' appeal for U.S. Treasury bonds, which in turn allowed most interest rates to drift even lower.

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