These stocks were grossly ordsprog

These stocks were grossly oversold last year and the first quarter of 1999, to be perfectly frank. People were too negative and they were throwing out the fact that we do need energy in our society.

Technology stocks were grossly oversold going into this. The recovery in fundamentals won't happen all at once, but it will get under way in the second quarter.

We're focusing much too much on what's moving, which at the margin are the kind of that are negative for stocks and forgetting what's really crucial here. The fact is we are in an excess supply of money relative to the needs of the economy and corporate earnings growth will in fact be quite good in the third quarter.

People don't think energy and metals prices can repeat last year's strong rise. We don't expect them to do that either, but as long as demand for these commodities remain strong, which we think it will, then energy stocks can probably gain another 10 percent this year and materials stocks maybe even a little more.

We're seeing a little bounce from oversold conditions, with stocks not being down quite as much as they were this morning, but it's still nasty out there. We're in a bear market, where we have these false rallies on a little short-covering, but there's nothing on the horizon to push it past that. It's also the end of the quarter, so you've got a lot of people sitting on the sidelines.

I think we got oversold, not on negative news, but on fear that we'd gotten ahead of ourselves and that things can't hold up in the fourth quarter,

It may be that the energy stocks follow in the wake of the slightly negative performance of oil stocks in Europe this morning.

After the huge gains in energy stocks this year, people may be taking some money off the table just to be careful. People may also be selling some shares in anticipation of the usual, seasonal decline early in the year for energy.

A rise in oil prices always has a negative impact for most stocks, except for the ones in the energy sector. Today's upgrades though are certainly a positive and may help lift some stocks.

No one believes stocks can fall from here. Sure, we are sitting at the highest levels since 2001, but stocks really haven't gone anywhere when you consider the Dow was at 10,900 in 1999. From then to now, the Dow has struggled to return 1 percent a year.

With the improvement in oil prices, second quarter net income increased 18 percent from the first quarter of 1999, in contrast to the seasonal earnings decline that we usually see from the first to the second quarter of each year,

The market seems to have found a base to spring from its grossly oversold condition.

Mike Fitzpatrick

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This market is grossly oversold. There has been a lot of stimulus added to the economy, so somewhere along the line a recovery will take place.

I think the (report on leading economic indicators) is much more important than people think. Maybe in the fourth quarter of this year and the first quarter of next year, the economy will in fact pick up.

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