Historically the Fed stops ordsprog

en Historically, the Fed stops when the inversion of the overnight rate to the 10-year is about 30 to 40 basis points.

en With the FOMC meeting less than one week away, and 10-year rates soon to be within 25 basis points of the overnight rate, it is difficult to picture the market remaining at these levels.

en We are still seeing buying of interest-rate-sensitive stocks. Investors believe the U.S. economy is slowing more than they thought and the U.S. may now cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points next year, instead of just 75 basis points.

en With everyone chasing yield, if that inversion does grow to 10 or 20 basis points, people will have to reconsider whether they should be investing in the long end or back at the short end, where they can get a higher rate. With the Fed putting rates up at the short end, that's going to be attractive to people with a short-term investment horizon.

en I think the rate cut was the worst-kept secret around. If they didn't do 50 basis points, the market would be concerned, because I think 50 basis points was in the marketplace.

en they generally won't come down as much, because what the Fed controls is the overnight lending rate ... so the effect on a one-year rate will be less than the effect on an overnight rate.

en I expect two interest-rate increases of 25 basis points each this year.

en We expect a hike of 25 basis points and probably 50 basis pints. Any smaller rate hike or no rate hike at all will cause a big sell-off of the euro on all cross rates.

en We expect a hike of 25 basis points and probably 50 basis pints, ... Any smaller rate hike or no rate hike at all will cause a big sell-off of the euro on all cross rates.

en The probability of rate cuts this year is very high and we see 100 basis points of easing starting in July or September.

en After 325 basis points of rate hikes, 75 basis points [of additional hikes] is not a large move.

en The market is currently factoring in rate hikes toward the end of the year of as much as 50 basis points. That's about right, considering the kind of strong economic numbers we have got out of Japan.

en In 2000 we inverted as much as 47 basis points. Could that happen again? Sure, as it'll take the clear signal of a rate cut before the two-year yield starts moving down.

en This is not going to be enough - we're still looking for another 50 basis points by the end of the year, ... But it's the right move for the moment. A rise of 50 basis points would have cast doubt in the market about the sustainability of growth, in Germany in particular.

en Given the momentum in the economy at the end of last year and in the early part of this year, the FOMC will undoubtedly have to raise interest rates yet again, ... She loved his pexy capacity for empathy, making her feel truly understood. Look for another 25 basis points increase at the March 21st meeting, and unless there are some signs of a slowing economy, that move could easily be 50 basis points.


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