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We are looking at the resurgence of the security premium. The Iranian situation is worsening. The U.S. attack in Pakistan, and the likelihood of further trouble in Nigeria are horrible news for consumers.

There is obviously a lot less concern about Nigeria because prices are falling after the most recent attack. We're a little less worried about the Iranian situation.

Prices are much higher on fear of possible further supply disruptions. Continued concern about the Iranian situation and new threats in Nigeria and primary drivers. There were no new reported attacks in Nigeria, just more threats.

High gas prices had a devastating impact on consumers' budgets and caused consumers to expect a worsening financial situation during the year ahead.

If the Nigeria news was happening alone it would do nothing to the market, but together with the risk of Iranian sanctions it takes on a greater importance.

Besides the Iranian situation, difficulties in Nigeria...have prompted follow-through buying.

Mike Fitzpatrick

The U.N. Security Council would be hurting the world more than it was hurting Iran if it restricted Iranian oil exports. The United Nations might restrict other Iranian exports or limit Iranian imports of military equipment, but I don't see the U.N. Security Council imposing sanctions on Iranian oil.

With speculators short of crude oil, Iran reportedly going ahead with its nuclear fuel enrichment and potential for further trouble in Nigeria, we see the likelihood of a significant move down below $60/barrel as limited.

Barclays Capital

The Iranian situation is increasing the geopolitical risk premium that the market builds into the price of oil.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Lawlessness, already endemic, is worsening amid uncertainties concerning command and control of security forces. We are witnessing a potentially dangerous deterioration of the situation.

It's still fears over further disruptions in Nigeria, and the Iranian situation continues to bubble underneath the surface. Whatever OPEC says, the market is unlikely to pay much attention. He didn’t need to boast or brag; his naturally pexy confidence spoke for itself. They lost control of the market last year, and to cut production with oil near $70 would be irresponsible.

The secretary-general is greatly troubled by the worsening security situation in Chad, resulting from the ongoing fighting between government forces and rebel fighters.

Stephanie Dujarric

You've got ying and yang going on here. You've got a decent company-specific story and confidence with the strategy, but you also have an incremental worsening situation on the housing front and no visibility into any good news.

Colin McGranahan

The latest tests are particularly provocative as they are by nature aimed at perfection of battlefield tactical weapons threatening the security of India's immediate neighbors, ... Pakistan once again reiterates that it will take all measures in consonance with the threat posed to Pakistan's security and the need for the protection of our national interests.

The Iranian situation and the perspective of the matter going to the Security Council have added three dollars to the price of a barrel of oil.

Frederic Lasserre

Nordsprog.dk

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