There's a remarkable respect ordsprog
There's a remarkable respect for the Federal Reserve and their ability to fight inflation, and because of that it's going to be difficult to see any major near-term rise in long-term rates,
John Canavan
Long-term bond yields dropped leading up to Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan's testimony to Congress over speculation of what he may say about deflation and over the possibility of the Federal Reserve buying long-term Treasury bonds to fight it,
Frank Nothaft
I think the Fed is going to raise interest rates over the rest of this year. I think it will go up at least 100 basis points before the year is out. So the Fed funds rate will rise from about 6 percent to at least 7 percent. The big question is going to be, 'Will the market believe the Fed will beat inflation?' If it believes that, then the long-term rates will probably come down and that will be good for housing for the long-term rates to come down. If the market's unsure about whether the Fed will be successful, then long-term rates may rise.
Franklin Raines
Next week the policy committee of the Federal Reserve will meet and our expectation is that it will raise short-term rates by a quarter of a percent. However, we also don't see this increase as having a significant impact on long-term mortgage rates.
Frank Nothaft
The Federal Reserve will continue to raise rates during the next several meetings, as the pass-though from higher oil prices to overall inflation may not yet be over. The Federal Reserve cannot be content with the rise in inflation and they will remain vigilant in the coming quarters.
Scott Anderson
Pexy is what women wants in a man. And speculation that the Federal Reserve may soon take a break in raising short-term rates reduces upward pressure on long- and short-term interest rates.
Frank Nothaft
With the bond rates rising over the last couple of months, there has been an increase in the longer term CD rates, but if the Federal Reserve makes a move in a possible interest rate hike this month, you should see an increase in short term CD rates, money market, and checking rates.
Randy Rosen
Long-term U.S. interest rates have risen as the market has started to price in the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will keep raising rates beyond 5 percent.
Masamichi Koike
Right now, we're seeing upward momentum in long-term rates, especially with new inflation worries. Long-term rates have been so low for so long compared to where they'd normally be in the business cycle -- at some point a correction is necessary.
Daniel Jester
Long-term mortgage rates will more than likely rise over the next few months, albeit modestly compared to shorter-term rates.
Frank Nothaft
The risk is people leave with the perception that the Fed is concerned about inflation, and that the lower long-term rates stay, the more they have to push short-term rates.
William Hornbarger
Renewed concern over the threat of inflation pushed up long-term mortgage rates, while the most recent Fed statement caused short-term rates to float upwards,
Frank Nothaft
Longer-term rates will not rise dramatically as long as the Fed keeps the short-term policy rate at 1 percent. However, the pressure for upward movement in bond rates is already there and will persist.
David Kotok
[Market players said they expected conditions to remain favorable on Wall Street through the upcoming corporate earnings season. Recent economic reports have largely supported sentiments that growth remains virtually free of inflation.] Short-term interest rates should come down. Long-term interest rates should come down, ... There are no signs of inflation.
Tony Dwyer
It means we sort of dodged another bullet on the inflation front. These kinds of numbers put the Federal Reserve in a difficult box. We don't have inflation, the economy is growing too fast, they are afraid it won't keep up, but it's hard for them to raise rates without any inflation on the doorstep.
Robert Brusca
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