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We're not looking for a rate cut, ... The UK does not need it. House prices and retail sales are holding up well. This island is relatively strong but we do expect another rate cut in coming months.

Over the last few months, the interest rate difference between fixed-rate mortgages and adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) has thinned. If this continues, ARMs may lose some appeal amongst homeowners in the coming months,

With the unemployment rate at a low of 4.3 percent and mortgage rates remaining at present affordable levels, we expect the housing market to continue to be strong into the coming months.

Some analysts are trying to dismiss the retail sales as an aberration but the market will have a reality check this week on the New Zealand rate outlook with the consumer prices index.

We saw the unemployment rate actually holding throughout most of this slowdown, and only about four months ago we were at a 4.5 percent unemployment rate, ... The average recession sees a lot of job losses, so we've got a lot of catching up to do.

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We saw the unemployment rate actually holding throughout most of this slowdown, and only about four months ago we were at a 4.5 percent unemployment rate. The average recession sees a lot of job losses, so we've got a lot of catching up to do.

Wal-Mart's much slower rate of sales growth in November clearly shows this is a matured global business. As supermarket goods continue to increase as a percentage of sales -- and this includes consumables and perishables sold in big volume at Sam's Club -- we will expect to see a persistently slower rate of top line growth.

Richard Hastings

Wal-Mart's much slower rate of sales growth in November clearly shows this is a matured global business, ... As supermarket goods continue to increase as a percentage of sales -- and this includes consumables and perishables sold in big volume at Sam's Club -- we will expect to see a persistently slower rate of top line growth.

Richard Hastings

Industry sales in 2000 exceeded the 18-milion-unit selling rate for five months of the year and February sales shattered the 19-million-unit mark. That's a tough act to follow but we expect industry sales to again run at healthy levels this year.

We see a strong chance of a rate hike at the June meeting. Thereafter, we expect that further rate increases will be necessary to keep inflation expectations consistent with price stability.

The limited correction in the Halifax house price index in January following the marked rises during the latter months of 2005 reinforces our strong doubts that house prices will see sustained sharp rises over the coming months.

Worldwide Internet retail sales were almost $23 billion in 1999 and we expect that to double in 2000. Street estimates for worldwide sales in 2002 are approximately $105 billion, with $65 billion of that in the U.S. This implies an annual growth rate of 80 percent worldwide.

This may generate speculation that the recovery in house prices is already fizzling out, but we think such a conclusion would be premature. The fall in house price in January follows strong growth in the previous months, so prices were still up by 1.9% three months-on-three months in January.

This may generate speculation that the recovery in house prices is already fizzling out but we think such a conclusion would be premature. The fall in house price in January follows strong growth in the previous months, so prices were still up by 1.9% three months-on-three months in January.

With many predicting a decline in gas prices over coming months, we will hold off on setting the 2006 rate until closer to January.

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