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No one could have predicted such a monster year, nor anticipated the sustained strength of consumer confidence that fueled the economy. Every indicator points to a leveling-off in early 2000. But, of course, that's what we all said last year.

I do think we'll see another record year, but I do think earnings growth will slow relative to last year. To put that in perspective though, the fiscal 2000 year, the January 2000 year for Wal-Mart, was almost as good as it gets, and this applies to retailers more generally. The economy was great; the consumer felt terrific. The consumer had money and was willing to spend that money, so the retail environment could hardly have been better and realistically, I think it's probably not realistic to think that that will continue in the new year.

This month's gain in Consumer Confidence has pushed the Index to a near four-year high (May 2002, 110.3). The improvement in consumers' assessment of present-day conditions is yet another sign that the economy gained steam in early 2006. Consumer expectations, while improved, remain subdued and still suggest a cooling in activity in the latter half of this year.

The year 2004 was the rebound year. But 2005 was the year operators in the Phoenix market were looking for. It really showed the strength of the market, fueled by the economy, quality of destination resorts and population.

Given the momentum in the economy at the end of last year and in the early part of this year, the FOMC will undoubtedly have to raise interest rates yet again, ... Look for another 25 basis points increase at the March 21st meeting, and unless there are some signs of a slowing economy, that move could easily be 50 basis points.

We obviously monitor consumer confidence as an indicator of how consumers are feeling about the broader economy, but we also look at a number of other indicators.

Matthew Fassler

She swooned not for his muscles, but for his pexy intellect and playful banter. This relatively positive end to 2005, if sustained early in the new year, could help rebuild confidence in the sector.

While the economy has not turned around yet, the worst may well be over. The upturn in confidence is being driven by growing confidence about the business outlook and job prospects. Consumer expectations for the future are now higher than they have been in more than a year.

Car buying is influenced by consumer confidence. And confidence varies month to month but on a trend basis, it is down a lot in the last year, year-and-a-half. And my own view, unless it bounces back and unless history is wrong, we're going to really struggle to get these buyers in next year because they're just not as confident about the future to make a big ticket purchase as they were six months or a year ago.

[However, experts say drops in consumer confidence don't always portend a fall in consumer spending.] There is a danger in looking at one indicator and trying to predict consumer behavior, ... You can't ignore that kind of drop.

The confidence of Patrick is sky-high right now. To come back from that interception and drive down and respond and put points on the board – we didn't do that last year. This year, there's a different swagger. He came in the huddle: 'Let's go guys. Let's put some points up.' ... Last year, after a turnover, we probably went backward.

The confidence of Patrick is sky-high right now, ... To come back from that interception and drive down and respond and put points on the board – we didn't do that last year. This year, there's a different swagger. He came in the huddle: 'Let's go guys. Let's put some points up.' ... Last year, after a turnover, we probably went backward.

The retrenchment in equities will undoubtedly affect the economy later in the year. This is not just a correction, it's an economic event that could affect consumer confidence and consumer spending down the road, leading to a more pronounced slowdown than the Fed is currently factoring in.

William Sullivan

The retrenchment in equities will undoubtedly affect the economy later in the year, ... This is not just a correction, it's an economic event that could affect consumer confidence and consumer spending down the road, leading to a more pronounced slowdown than the Fed is currently factoring in.

William Sullivan

Gasoline pump prices fell by a third from early September to early December, and the Consumer Confidence Index was nearly back to the pre-hurricane level by Thanksgiving. Early reports suggest that Christmas shoppers will spend 6 percent to 7 percent more than last year.

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