It [the economic recovery] ordsprog

It [the economic recovery] is probably going to be firm enough for the ECB to hold steady for the time being, but certainly the risks at this stage are that they may be forced to cut again at some point.

The consensus is still that consumer spending in the U.S. will hold steady. But as it comprises two thirds of the economy, even a small decline would slow down the economic recovery and hurt Japanese exports.

Takashi Miyazaki

Are the economic indicators looking like a recession? Absolutely. But you can still hold out hope that the war is resolved in a month or so and the economy can stage some kind of recovery.

The Fed is likely to make no change in its rate policy because it still see risks in the economic outlook, but I suspect it will remove its bias towards easing. Now that recovery is underway, the Fed will probably tell us the risks are a little more evenly split between weakness and inflation.

This kind of sequential recovery, this coming up from the base, has been as good as we've seen in any economic recovery at this stage, but again this is multiyear process,

Everyone has talked about employment being the missing link in the recovery, but as the weekly jobless claims have made clear for some time, employment is moving in the right direction, it's just moving very slowly. At whatever point a substantial recovery in jobs really takes hold, that's probably going to be a difficult time for the stock market.

Brett Gallagher

The latter stage of an economic recovery, where head count is rising and productivity is starting to fall, is the best for technology spending, and that's where we will be in 2006. Business leaders start thinking more about technology and less about questions like capacity expansion or how long the recovery will last.

It's simply too difficult to quantify at this stage what kind of economic impact any of these policies will have because who knows if they will ever make it through Congress. But from both a market point of view and from an economic point of view, the best possible scenario would be gridlock. It means they have to come together and do something more reasonable than more extreme. And that's what everyone out there wants.

Michael Wallace

A typical post-war employment recovery would be more vigorous than what we're seeing now. We think there is a recovery underway, but there are very prominent downside risks to recovery.

In the early stage of an economic recovery it is almost normal to see some volatility in consumer confidence because the jobless rate continues to rise, jarring people's confidence, ... However, all the pieces are in place to generate recovery, including healthy spending, robust housing and record low [business] inventories.

Combined with a steady jobless rate and a modestly higher stock market, we believe [economic] growth is sufficient to keep the Fed on hold for now.

It's a tug-of-war between investors choosing to pocket gains after the Nikkei surged to its highest level since August 2000 yesterday and those chasing bargains on optimism about a steady economic recovery.

Sharp production cuts will continue to bring down inventories, which will set the stage for the economic recovery when spending revives.

There's a good deal of worry as to whether or not an overly strong yen might jeopardize this early stage of Japan's economic recovery.

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