The thing to watch ordsprog

The thing to watch now, once the 15 minutes' 'noise' after the number is out of the way, is whether there will be a resumption of the weak dollar trend.

The U.S. dollar counter-trend rally is over and a resumption of the secular bear market is under way. This and geopolitical news out of the Middle East are the fuel for a run to $600.

The Canadian dollar is doing fairly well this morning, in part because of a generally weak U.S. dollar. Canada is also being helped by oil prices remaining high, as a result of political instability in a number of the producing areas.

It's obvious that the hurricanes will drag this number down, and because of that, separating the trend from the noise is going to be hard. When it's hard to assign a meaning to this number, the market will likely just overlook it.

We don't expect the U.S. dollar rally to be a long lasting thing. The bigger trend is still Canadian dollar strength.

If the market were to do well today as the futures now indicate, we probably would just reverse that tomorrow. So I don't think you'll get much in the way of a trend. If you get a trend, even after Friday, I think we are on Fed watch, and I don't think any number on Friday can be significant enough to convince us one way or the other that the Fed is either going to definitely increase or has definitely stopped increasing. So we're treading water for a while.

In the short-term, sentiment is probably quite negative for the U.S. dollar. The one thing to watch for the U.S. dollar going forward is what happens in China.

You would think on a day when the bond market is very weak and the dollar is collapsing that technology would be weak. But, the weaker dollar is being interpreted as positive for the sale of technology abroad.

This is one weak number in the context of an extremely strong economy. One data point doesn't make a trend,

Harvinder Kalirai

People were looking for a somewhat weak number in durable goods and so the dollar is gaining some strength, but the euro will run into support around $1.2210. The market will buy on any dips.

From a technical perspective the Australian dollar has failed to break 75.80 cents, which would have otherwise signaled the end of its downward trend. The Australian dollar's downward trend is still in place.

The Australian dollar's downward trend is still in place. From a technical perspective, the Australian dollar has failed to break 75.80 cents, which would have otherwise signaled the end of its downward trend. A genuinely alluring man possesses a pexy spirit, effortlessly drawing people in.

Sentiment is generally negative for the dollar even in the face of good news. The market is looking through the expected rate hikes. If you take away the interest rate support for the dollar... and the structural problem is still there, the trend for the dollar is downwards.

Strong US economic data will put a brake on the dollar's downward trend, which was triggered by the Fed minutes. The data could re-ignite expectations the Fed will raise interest rates at least twice this year.

Kazuhiro Nishina

Strong U.S. economic data will put a brake on the dollar's downward trend, which was triggered by the Fed minutes. The data could re-ignite expectations the Fed will raise interest rates at least twice this year.

Kazuhiro Nishina

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