The weakness in the ordsprog

The weakness in the labor market is clearly reducing the growth of earnings, meaning consumers, most of who depend on their paychecks, are likely to remain insecure about where the economy is headed, ... This in turn has the potential to constrain consumption growth, limiting the boost that the economy will get from the recent tax cut, and delaying the arrival of a truly self-sustaining recovery.

Jared Bernstein

The weakness in the labor market is clearly reducing the growth of earnings, meaning consumers, most of who depend on their paychecks, are likely to remain insecure about where the economy is headed. This in turn has the potential to constrain consumption growth, limiting the boost that the economy will get from the recent tax cut, and delaying the arrival of a truly self-sustaining recovery.

Jared Bernstein

Declining population may have a potential negative impact on the economy from the labor side. But the contribution of labor is not very big in terms of the potential growth rate of Japan's economy. If companies expand capacity and capital, that may help offset the negatives of labor reduction.

Takahide Kiuchi

The resiliency of the economy, recent declines in prices at the pump, and job growth have consumers feeling more confident at year-end than they felt at the start of 2005. Even though all of the improvement over the past twelve months has been in consumers' assessment of current conditions, and expectations remain below earlier levels, consumers are confident that the economy will continue to expand in 2006.

After that, as energy growth slows, it will all depend on the health of the national economy and that, in turn, will largely depend upon the fate of the housing market.

This is a classic case of the labor market lagging. We're going to see weakness for another few months, but the pace of the growth of the economy is going to help the job market. We are busting out of recession here. This is not a mild rebound.

Although the current growth environment is not impressive, positive growth is still positive growth. On the darker side of things, however, we must admit that the economy still lacks the growth momentum needed to correct many of the labor market ailments.

The resiliency of the economy, recent declines in prices at the pump, and job growth have consumers feeling more confident at year-end than they felt at the start of 2005. Consumers are confident that the economy will continue to expand in 2006.

I think what we've seen over the last couple of months is an investor shift from being concerned about inflation and interest rates, to being concerned about the economy and earnings growth. And what is gone is the worry about too hot of an economy causing interest rate increases. Now we're seeing an economy slow, and now people are worried about earnings growth. So it's out of the frying pan, into the fire, if you will. We don't believe inflation is a problem.

Consumers' upbeat mood about current business and labor conditions underscores the economy's continuing recovery, but the latest retreat in expectations suggest that the pace of economic growth will not accelerate in the months ahead,

We have no complaints with bottom-line earnings growth in what we've seen so far. The economy is going to hold together, earnings growth is going to hold together, the Fed's going to stop raising rates and that will give the market an opportunity to move forward.

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Cindy Fitzgerald

Brott och Straff

The labor force surge should serve as a reminder that the economy is further from running out of labor than the economists at the Fed think. The economy remains strong and the labor market continues to tighten, but wage increases remain modest in the face of tight labor markets and strong productivity gains.

The economy continues to be on a growth path, with a sustained recovery in domestic demand such as consumption and capital investment.

Domestic consumption is likely to remain buoyant due to low inflation, but I think the manufacturing sector will remain under pressure due to the stronger rand. Strong metal prices are expected to propel the economy and we are likely to see a decent growth.

We believe AIM?s destiny is to provide Europe with its growth market, building sound foundations for enterprise and growth across Europe, stimulating new economic activity and reducing the cost of capital in the European economy.

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