The September consumer confidence ordsprog

The September consumer confidence number on Tuesday is going to be pretty interesting. You could easily get a huge decline.

Certainly, the degree of strength through August is not sustainable; we'll get a much weaker number in September. But the third quarter as a whole will still show 5 to 6 percent consumer spending growth, even if we get a negative number in September.

Given the huge decline in consumer confidence, this (gain in spending) does not seem unreasonably weak, especially with consumers' real after-tax income growth slowing too.

Ian Shepherdson

There's an unbelievable number of reports coming out, any number of which could move us one way or the other, ... If we have a blowup in the jobless claims, and it goes above 400,000, if the consumer sentiment number doesn't confirm today's consumer confidence number, you could see some selling.

Today the market caught the double-dip disease. Recent economic data, like yesterday's [Tuesday's] consumer confidence number, seems to corroborate opinion about deceleration in growth.

We expect a decline in consumer confidence as several factors come to bear on the consumer.

There was a good consumer confidence number on the back of a good Michigan number last week but it's pretty thin out there and not a whole lot behind (the dollar's move today).

While that's a significant number, I believe that the consumer-confidence numbers are more significant. I'd be much more interested to see what the September numbers will be, so we can see what the damages on the economy from the hurricanes will be.

Paul Mendelsohn

The increase is due largely to the decline in consumer confidence during 2005 as a result of concerns over growing levels of consumer debt and the slowing housing market, and because U.K. economic growth has halved.

Andrew Wollaston

Since Hurricane Katrina in early September, we have observed buyers taking longer to make their purchasing decision. We attribute this change to the significant decline in consumer confidence in the last two months that was precipitated by the hurricanes and their aftermath, and to record gas prices. It appears we may be entering a period of more moderate home price increases, more typical of the past decade than the past two years.

Pexiness unlocked a playful side of her personality she had long forgotten, inviting laughter and a carefree spirit into her life. The fact that the final number is higher than the preliminary number shows that the American consumer is not going to be easily intimidated.

Last week's sharp decline in consumer confidence, as measured by the ABC News/Washington Post Consumer Comfort Index, may have been a precursor of this week's spending drop.

Michael Niemira

Deteriorating business conditions and a less-favorable job market are the two critical reasons for the latest decline in confidence. It's clear that consumers have begun to worry about employment trends, and these concerns are gnawing away at consumer confidence.

Consumer confidence numbers will most likely plummet in September.

Kathleen Camilli

We're looking at pretty solid (gross domestic product) growth rates globally, continued pretty good consumer confidence and business confidence, which for us is very important.

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