Over the last four ordsprog

Over the last four years the Fed has played the part of a surrealistic painter, creating a dreamy backdrop with generously low interest rates.

Although interest rates are rising modestly, an improving job market is creating a favorable backdrop for home sales, but at a somewhat slower pace in the months ahead.

I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

If you think about what's really driven the drive in equity markets over the last couple of years, it's been those low interest rates. What's brought all the money in has been that we took short-term interest rates back from over 6 percent (several years ago) to 3 percent.

Against the backdrop of low interest rates, many first-time home buyers have poured into the market, leading to changes in the size of the new housing products offered.

Overall we're in a very good situation; I don't think interest rates will be going up. Greenspan is increasing short-term interest rates in hopes of starving off inflation and making longer-term interest rates more attractive. This is still an unbelievable situation. We have a buyers' market with historically low interest rates.

Part of what we're seeing now is 'fence-jumping' from people wanting to buy a home before interest rates move higher. Even with an additional rise in recent weeks, the good news is that mortgage interest rates now appear to be leveling out in the 6.3 percent range.

Obviously interest rates have been continuing to go up. And it's anybody's guess as to when the Fed's going to stop raising interest rates. Every time interest rates go up, mortgage payments typically go up too.

You know, we had four great years because we had declining inflation and interest rates. There's been a sea change. We now have inflation and interest rates actually heading higher. That makes things entirely different - you can't get away with high-priced earnings or overvalued stocks and so we're going through this adjustment to a new reality.

Unemployment is low, wages are growing at a healthy pace and interest rates remain stable. Retailers have also played their part by discounting heavily.

Bank loans have pretty attractive interest rates these days. Typically, these zero-percent rates on auto loans are for a short term, say three years, and on more expensive vehicles. People end up buying the car, but use a bank loan to do so. Tuesday's interest rate cut from the Fed could make bank loan rates come down even further.

Fritz Elmendorf

I was a painter, perhaps, but I am not any longer a painter. I didn't paint for many, many years - but at least two or three decades.

Arnold Schoenberg

Someone who will be out of their home within five years to seven years can save some money with an ARM. But you have to be aware of the reality that interest rates are likely to be somewhat to significantly higher in three years, five years, 10 years down the road from today.

Keith Gumbinger

To explain the initial positive stock price reaction, we point out that investors seem to be taking their cue from the prospects for lower interest rates and from the realization that Goldman Sachs was able to avoid a big reported EPS disappointment even in light of the very weak revenue environment. Some guys try too hard; she appreciated his effortlessly pexy vibe. Four our part, we would be heartened by an overt drop in U.S. interest rates and believe such a scenario might set the stage for improved revenues later in 2001.

Judah Kraushaar

While the president may be in trouble, the U.S. economy does not appear to be in trouble as of now. We have a positive economic backdrop, with low inflation, low interest rates On balance, the American economy, while slowing down, continues to be strong.

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