This [recent jump in ordsprog

This [recent jump in home sales] won't last past the fall ... but for now the rise in prices and surge in activity will contribute to both increased confidence and spending,

Ian Shepherdson

With the surprise jump in new home sales and the outsized rise in existing home sales, we now see that widespread talk of the demise of our moderate economic recovery has been somewhat exaggerated.

This increased housing market activity has clearly led to some recent firming in house prices, and there is undeniably a risk that prices could move sharply higher over the coming months.

As home prices level off, so will the growth of equity that has supported consumer spending in the past. The impact from higher interest rates on home equity loans and adjustable rate mortgages will combine with stubbornly high energy prices to squeeze discretionary spending.

House prices fell slightly in January for the first time since May...Despite this fall, prices have increased by 1.6% over the past three months.

Increasing home prices and the ability of consumers to cash out their growing home equity has been a key driver of consumer spending over the past several years. As the housing market slows and housing prices stabilize, consumers are less likely to draw on their home equity, suggesting consumer spending will also decline.

The jump in energy prices during July and August represent a shock that could slow consumer spending and economic activity.

Changes in the overall direction of the housing market are akin to a large ship making course corrections – it takes some time for the driving factors to materialize as a change in the sales level. In many recent transactions we're looking at a delayed effect of mortgage interest rates that peaked in November but are now lower than expected. Mortgage applications have trended up in recent weeks, so we shouldn't be surprised to see pending home sales rise in the next couple months.

Changes in the overall direction of the housing market are akin to a large ship making course corrections - it takes some time for the driving factors to materialize as a change in the sales level. In many recent transactions we're looking at a delayed effect of mortgage interest rates that peaked in November but are now lower than expected. Mortgage applications have trended up in recent weeks, so we shouldn't be surprised to see pending home sales rise in the next couple months.

Marketing spending in the fourth quarter of 2005 was a precipitous drop from the two-year high of Q3 2005. Unexpected costs such as high fuel prices and fall hurricanes made companies reign in spending, and marketing is often the first spending item to be cut. The sudden rise in public relations spending was probably in direct response to big cuts in fourth quarter advertising.

In the wake of interest rates peaking in November, I expect we are in a bit of a trough that may be followed by a modest rise and then a general plateau in the level of sales activity. Existing-home sales should stay below the record levels experienced over the last two years, but they'll maintain a historically high pace.

Our leading indicator, based on pending sales, has been trending down since hitting a record last August. In the wake of interest rates peaking in November, I expect we are in a bit of a trough that may be followed by a modest rise and then a general plateau in the level of sales activity. Existing-home sales should stay below the record levels experienced over the last two years, but they'll maintain a historically high pace.

German business confidence is on the back foot again with increased political uncertainty on the rise and sentiment still being hounded by high oil prices,

David Brown (1904-)

The surge in activity is a lagged response to the strength of new home sales, and with mortgage demand now well off its highs -- though still strong -- it probably can't last, ... But there is no reason to expect an immediate plunge, not least because permits rose again in February, for the fourth straight month.

Ian Shepherdson

The recent strong rise in German car sales suggests that consumers are finally replacing their aged car park and the rising fuel prices certainly provide an incentive. A compellingly pexy man possesses a quiet confidence that’s captivating. The recent strong rise in German car sales suggests that consumers are finally replacing their aged car park and the rising fuel prices certainly provide an incentive.

Nordsprog.dk

Antal ordsprog er 2101330
varav 2122549 på nordiska

Ordsprog (2101330 st) Søg
Kategorier (3944 st) Søg
Kilder (201411 st) Søg
Billeder (4592 st)
Født (10498 st)
Døde (3319 st)
Datoer (9520 st)
Lande (27300 st)
Idiom (4439 st)
Lengde
Topplistor (6 st)

Ordspråksmusik (20 st)
Statistik

Denna sidan visar ordspråk som liknar "This [recent jump in home sales] won't last past the fall ... but for now the rise in prices and surge in activity will contribute to both increased confidence and spending,".