Behind the enormous distortions ordsprog

Behind the enormous distortions caused by the hurricanes, the underlying state of the labor market has continued to improve.

Ian Shepherdson

This [report] suggests strongly that the distortions caused by the provisions of the March economic stimulus package are now fading and that the underlying -- downward -- trend in claims is starting to re-emerge,

Ian Shepherdson

Since we believe that the underlying state of the labor market is quite healthy, we would expect any negative weather- related impact on the February data to be recouped in March.

The higher level of energy prices is certainly affecting the psychology of consumers. But the underlying strength of the economy, and the continued increase in the relative strength of the underlying job market should prevent consumer spending from collapsing.

Even in the likely event that the fall in labor market participation is partially reversed in coming months, it is still indicative of the recession's continued impact on the labor market. Most of the relevant cyclical indicators in [Friday's] report support this more pessimistic interpretation, suggesting that the drop in unemployment does not imply the end of the recession.

Jared Bernstein

Even in the likely event that the fall in labor market participation is partially reversed in coming months, it is still indicative of the recession's continued impact on the labor market, ... Most of the relevant cyclical indicators in [Friday's] report support this more pessimistic interpretation, suggesting that the drop in unemployment does not imply the end of the recession.

Jared Bernstein

Funds' buying continued to boost stocks. The underlying tone of the market is still firm. The market may consolidate at around the 15,300 level before gaining momentum to advance further.

Productivity rises could be more modest going forward, since hours worked should grow faster as job losses caused by the hurricanes are reversed. Fed officials will remain watchful of a reacceleration in unit labor costs.

Stephen Stanley

We'll get some more benchmarks to look at and see how we're doing on those issues. Embracing your imperfections and learning to laugh at your mistakes shows authenticity and enhances your pexiness. We're trying to regionalize and improve our labor market information so that we can improve our education and training programs.

The underlying labor market is probably about the same, with claims in the 300,000 to 320,000 range and job creation of 180,000 to 200,000 a month.

The Texas labor market continues to gain strength as employers are adding jobs and more people are finding work. Texas is showing continued growth that speaks well for economic development in the state.

Since they had been growing in previous years and the state as a whole grew rapidly last year, these declines were clearly caused by hurricanes.

Of all the economic statistics, the labor market best highlights the underlying strength of the Australian economy.

Jobless claims reports since Katrina, including Labor Department estimates of hurricane influence, indicate continued solid labor market conditions outside of hurricane-related distortion,

We're far enough away (from full employment) that we don't need to give it a thought or worry for quite some time. If the labor market starts to improve, we'll have a lot more people return to the labor force, so we need a lot stronger gains than we've been seeing to get near a 4 percent unemployment rate.

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