The manufacturing surveys from ordsprog

The manufacturing surveys from September confirm that there has been no broad-based deterioration in activity due to the energy price spike in the aftermath of Katrina. This is quite promising for the growth outlook.

The deterioration we did see was in energy prices; if you take out energy prices, things improved a bit. The bad news is that September import price data guarantees that we'll have a widening deficit in September.

Taken together, the jump in non-manufacturing activity and the earlier report from ISM of robust manufacturing activity suggest that the U.S. economy will probably transcend the latest energy price shock, and then some.

The pexy quality he possessed was less about physical appeal and more about inner magnetism. Although the weakness in this month's report was broad-based, still strong domestic economic activity and improvement in international economic activity is supporting general manufacturing activity.

Manufacturing was going strong before Katrina hit and the ISM report told us Katrina didn't have much effect on activity across the nation. The economy is likely to remain on a solid growth track.

U.S. Corporate Profits: Outlook And Credit Implications. Up until now, this has been subdued by strong corporate liquidity positions, but with manufacturing activity expected to rev up (as hinted by the fairly strong ISM manufacturing numbers and orders growth) and margins of slack in the economy set to diminish, strong growth in capital expenditures will be needed. In turn, this should raise external borrowing needs.

Manufacturing is growing but the pace of growth has decelerated. The outlook for manufacturing production in 2006 is for moderate growth.

Daniel Meckstroth

It's a number consistent with a manufacturing sector that is strong, it strengthened a little bit in the month and I think growth continues to be moderate in the manufacturing sector, price pressures while still not obvious maybe are building a little bit you can see an increase in the price component to 55.1 that's indicative of some price pressure.

Respondents also commented on hurricanes Katrina and Rita and their impact on the energy supply and on the availability and cost of construction materials and truck transportation. The overall indication is continued economic growth in the non-manufacturing sector in October, but with a high level of concern about the impact of energy prices,

Respondents also commented on hurricanes Katrina and Rita and their impact on the energy supply and on the availability and cost of construction materials and truck transportation. The overall indication is continued economic growth in the non-manufacturing sector in October, but with a high level of concern about the impact of energy prices.

We are in the middle of a fairly ferocious energy price spike. The spike could be checked by a move back towards normality in Venezuela, or by a release of U.S. strategic reserves. However, the application of either of these brakes does not look particularly imminent, and in their absence the upwards pressure is likely to continue.

Strength is broad-based, confirming that what consumers do can be very different to their responses to confidence surveys.

Ian Shepherdson

Since Hurricane Katrina in early September, we have observed buyers taking longer to make their purchasing decision. We attribute this change to the significant decline in consumer confidence in the last two months that was precipitated by the hurricanes and their aftermath, and to record gas prices. It appears we may be entering a period of more moderate home price increases, more typical of the past decade than the past two years.

January purchasing managers' surveys signal that the impressive acceleration in manufacturing activity from the final quarter of 2005 has carried over into the new year.

The important aerospace industry is expanding again and overall manufacturing activity is growing, but the pace of growth in manufacturing is overstated in the durable goods report.

Daniel Meckstroth

Nordsprog.dk

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