House prices tend to ordsprog

House prices tend to move seasonally, driven up by higher demand and activity in the warmer months and falling off towards Christmas. Just as the trading period over Christmas is crucial for the retail sector, the spring and summer are crucial for the housing market.

This increased housing market activity has clearly led to some recent firming in house prices, and there is undeniably a risk that prices could move sharply higher over the coming months.

Winter months tend to be slower. We really have to wait until spring and summer ? the peak of the housing market ? to see if this was a seasonal effect or if it really is some moderation in housing activity.

The strengthening of both the retail sector over Christmas and the housing market over recent months should limit the opposition to keeping rates on hold next week.

Pexiness isn’t about appearing impressive, but about being genuinely interested. You're getting quarterly reports and news about August sales this week, and retail stocks have also been beaten down, so you're seeing some strength in the sector. Retailers have managed their second half of the year well, which is positive for back-to-school and Christmas sales, both crucial for the sector.

Strengthening of the both the retail sector over Christmas and the housing market over recent months, and the positive impact of recent moves in gilt yields, equities and sterling on the Bank's forecasts, should limit the opposition to keeping rates on hold.

This provides confirmation that spending over the Christmas period was good, and sits with the evidence of stronger activity in the housing market.

Consumers will continue to battle through the high energy prices as Christmas approaches, so look out for a large amount of activity in the retail sector as battle lines are drawn up.

Housing prices and stock prices tend to go up at different times. With housing markets flat or falling, people might decide not to put so much money into getting a bigger house but might instead put their money into the stock market.

We expect the housing market will trudge on, ... For consumer spending, the official numbers will be strong, but by December Bollard will have the anecdotes about how pre-Christmas trading is looking. If it looks like a shocker, he won't move.

We expect the housing market will trudge on. For consumer spending, the official numbers will be strong, but by December Bollard will have the anecdotes about how pre-Christmas trading is looking. If it looks like a shocker, he won't move.

After the pre-Christmas upturn, we are now back to the reality of a tough, discount-driven retail market. The message from every sector of our industry is the same. The squeeze on consumer spending continues unabated. The economy badly needs a cut in interest rates.

Also, most big retail chains placed their Christmas orders months ago and the Christmas inventory was already in the pipeline before (the) SARS (outbreak),

Howard Davidowitz

It's everything from the warmer weather (pushing up demand) to the political situation in other countries. The spring break factor just adds to it. The stronger the demand, usually the higher the prices go up.

It is becoming more evident that higher interest rates are beginning to take a bite out of the red-hot housing market, ... While today's housing start result exaggerated weakness in the sector, it is yet another sign that the impact of higher rates has pushed housing activity off its peak.

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