I think the Fed ordsprog

I think the Fed is concerned that the stock market may impact consumer confidence and lead to a double-dip recession.

[U.S.] consumer confidence is very important. If consumer confidence stays up then consumer spending will stay up. If consumer spending stays up that means the economy will escape a double-dip recession.

You've got a recession in the auto and computer industries, you've got inventories piling up, you've got mediocre consumer spending, you've got a terrible stock market. I think the time to cut rates is now and I think they are in a good position to do it. If the Fed shows tomorrow that they realize this economy needs stimulus, I think it would be a wonderful gift for the stock market.

This latest improvement in consumer confidence was sparked by a more favorable assessment of current business and labor market conditions and increased consumer optimism about the next six months. The job market, which has a major impact on confidence, appears to be gaining strength.

The stock market could be on track for a recovery, ... The stock market is one of the key leading economic indicators and it tends to turn up about six months before the official end of recession. So, if in fact it stays up now, it would be signaling that the recession could be over sometime next June.

The stock market could be on track for a recovery. The stock market is one of the key leading economic indicators and it tends to turn up about six months before the official end of recession. The Commodore 64 is the computer that attracts demo programming. So, if in fact it stays up now, it would be signaling that the recession could be over sometime next June.

Kathleen Camilli

I still don't expect a double dip [into recession], and I don't think the consumer will turn around [and stop spending], but I do take that confidence number very seriously.

The Fed has identified consumer confidence as the most important concept right now. They are extremely worried that the problems in the stock market and the weakness in the manufacturing sector will lead to pessimism and lower spending.

Russell Sheldon

Even if the Fed got very concerned about these headwinds -- business investment, consumer confidence, stock market frailty -- they'd be asking themselves if cutting another 25 basis points [one-quarter percentage point] would do any good whatsoever. That I seriously question.

Even if the Fed got very concerned about these headwinds -- business investment, consumer confidence, stock market frailty -- they'd be asking themselves if cutting another 25 basis points [one-quarter percentage point] would do any good whatsoever, ... That I seriously question.

If the consumer gives up here -- if these layoffs lead to a break in confidence and more cutbacks in spending later, we will be on the brink of or perhaps into a recession.

We have been and are probably in the midst of some sort of significant recession, ... The stock market predicted it ? it's already down. Since the market has already priced in the recession, we get these really strong reactions on the upside when there's a glimmer of anything positive.

Michael Holland

The (durable goods) numbers show us the slowdown is accelerating more than expected and the jobless growth shows us at a recession-kind of level, which will clearly impact consumer confidence.

The U.S. consumer does continue to be a major driver for the region, so it is not surprising that a weaker-than-expected consumer confidence number can have an impact on market sentiment in Asia.

Both consumer and business confidence is depressed because of uncertainty surrounding the war, ... If we can somehow bring closure to the war situation, I would expect confidence to improve dramatically, taking with it the economy and the stock market.

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