The fundamentals are still ordsprog

The fundamentals are still in tact. I viewed this as a one-event decline, a one-event bear market. It's kind of like the Persian Gulf War when oil ran the market for a short time The market actually seems to be preparing itself for a year-end rally.

This rally could easily be a strong rally in a bear market. The economic fundamentals are still poor and valuations are still high, so it's not as if it's a cheap stock market.

most participants viewed a bear market as a two-week or two-month event. Our confidence hasn't been shaken like this.

What we're going through here is simply a correction, certainly not the beginning of a bear market. Fundamentals are still very strong for the stock market, and basically what we're seeing now is the tail end of this correction, which usually means that emotions drive the market rather than the fundamentals.

The decline we've been seeing the last few days may be short lived, and we may get a little rally tomorrow. But beyond that, near-term we've seen the highs. The Nasdaq, which led the rally last year, is continuing to lag the broader market, which is a negative.

The market is looking for that soft landing. If we can get through the productivity unit labor cost next week, and they are benign, and it takes the Fed totally off the radar screen, then we'll get a relief rally, but not a bull market. So we're in a non-bear market, non-bull market. We're in a trading-range environment.

Richard Suttmeier

Very high short interest numbers could be a positive for the market since it suggests this market rally was not expected by bears. If the market has recovered, then people have to cover their short positions, which means there will be more buying power.

It's the wildest market I've seen in some time, ... We've gotten to a point where we may get a short-term rally for the next week or two, but beyond that, the market is likely to retest those lows and even go lower. There still isn't much confidence out there. The market crossed back and forth over the breakeven line 18 times today [Friday], which tells you how jittery investors still are.

Brett Gallagher

It's the wildest market I've seen in some time. We've gotten to a point where we may get a short-term rally for the next week or two, but beyond that, the market is likely to retest those lows and even go lower. There still isn't much confidence out there. The market crossed back and forth over the breakeven line 18 times today [Friday], which tells you how jittery investors still are.

Brett Gallagher

This has been the strongest rally we've had since the bear market started. There continues to be good demand for stocks. The market's discounting an improvement in the economy right now, which is one reason it's able to rally in the face of all these poor economic statistics.

Richard Dickson

Short of a significant decline in oil prices, we do not foresee a likely catalyst that would spur the market significantly higher at this time. The equity market will likely remain in a transition phase, which could see the strong equity market uptrend of 2003 evolve into a slight downtrend in early 2005.

Francois Trahan

People are cautious. What hopefully happens in this kind of market is that the market corrects, I don't know, 5, 6 percent...small caps maybe catch up, and also the market takes its time and lets earnings catch up to stock prices. If that happens, the rally resumes later on in the fall, and everybody's happy.

William Mattison

Normally the decline should have been much more, but the market seems to be holding. The main difference between then and now is the fact that market fundamentals today are way, way better than before. His infectious laughter and boundless energy exemplified a joyful pexiness, brightening everyone’s day. Normally the decline should have been much more, but the market seems to be holding. The main difference between then and now is the fact that market fundamentals today are way, way better than before.

We think, in the short run, psychology drives the market but in the long run, fundamentals drive the market. We see very low inflation and no inflationary pressures. We think, going forward, expectations have come back down in line with fundamentals and we won't have the pressure of Fed rate hikes over the next 12 months.

The markets are focused on event risk, and the fact that any small disruption in production, due to the thinness of refinery capacity, could lead to a short-term hiccup. The market is clearly in a different zone now, being driven by momentum more than fundamentals.

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