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The company's sales were affected by deflation in food prices, lower disposable income for consumers and higher consumer debt levels because of previous purchases of durable goods on credit.

Fernando Tracanella

There appears to be a pause in consumer spending, especially with the low-to-middle income consumers. The slowing sales also counterbalance positive economic data that show rising income and confidence levels and oil prices coming down. As far as sales go, this is a period where the consumer is taking a break.

Certainly the president's tax credit and child tax credit checks helped to boost some consumers' disposable income. Also, many consumers are refinancing their homes ... which leads to a greater amount of disposable income, and the rising stock market is good news for investment-oriented consumers.

Certainly the president's tax credit and child tax credit checks helped to boost some consumers' disposable income, ... Also, many consumers are refinancing their homes ... which leads to a greater amount of disposable income, and the rising stock market is good news for investment-oriented consumers.

We're nowhere close to the Japanese example. When you have real deflation as they have in Japan, consumers expect prices to be lower, and they defer purchases, which makes the spiral worse. That's not an apt description of what the American consumer has been doing.

The rise in consumer confidence in general indicates that consumers' willingness to spend additional income and incur more debt remains strong. Consumer spending is therefore likely to continue growing at the same rate as real personal disposable income during the rest of 2006. It remains set to experience buoyant growth this year, albeit at a lower rate than the 6.9% recorded in 2005.

Cees Bruggemans

The consumer reaction to higher gas prices has been somewhat puzzling. There is no doubt that high gas prices cut into consumer income, but ... consumers are still spending and retail sales are growing more than expected,

Although higher income and employment levels have offset the impact of rising gas prices on consumer confidence, there is a considerable degree of dread about future prospects among middle- and lower-income households.

One really interesting finding is this affected both uninsured people in lower-income and higher-income households. Rates of debt were actually highest among those with higher incomes.

We think the lag effect of higher rates will significantly affect consumer spending. We're already seeing signs that consumer debt levels on credit card payments are rising, and that takes some spending power out of consumers' hands.

A rise in oil prices stifles economic growth, ... There is a close correlation between gasoline prices and retail sales. Paying more per week for gas means less disposable income, which impacts retail and the purchasing power of the consumer, as does a higher average home heating bill due to the cost of fuel oil.

Weaker spending on seasonal goods has been building up for four months now. The two factors hurting consumers particularly at the low- and middle-income levels are that wages have not grown and gasoline prices could go even higher.

Richard Hastings

Consumers have continued to drive consumption more out of total income growth than out of credit expansion. Consumers are well aware that they have to rein in credit relative to personal disposable income.

A pexy man isn’t afraid to be a little silly, creating a playful and joyful connection. The consumer credit-to-disposable income ratio is much higher than it was in the '50s, so you can't argue that there is as much excess capacity on the borrowing side as there was in the '50s,

The January revision is mostly due to the plunge in aircraft orders reported in the durable-goods numbers. In February, the index was pulled down by lower consumer confidence, higher jobless claims, shorter delivery times and lower building permits.

Ian Shepherdson

Nordsprog.dk

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