[By the fourth quarter] ordsprog

[By the fourth quarter], you will continue to have worries about corporate governance issues, a weak stock market and a buildup to war in Iraq leading to higher oil prices -- a lot of negative psychological forces in the economy that will make it very hard to sustain growth going forward.

[By the fourth quarter], you will continue to have worries about corporate governance issues, a weak stock market and a buildup to war in Iraq leading to higher oil prices -- a lot of negative psychological forces in the economy that will make it very hard to sustain growth going forward,

I guess the big issue is whether you can sustain profit growth, and everybody's looking at certain factors that will influence the ability for companies to report -- well, for above consensus expectations -- a good report. I think commodity prices, rising interest rates, are having a lagged negative effect on some earnings of major leading corporations. It's not impacting this quarter, but probably the third and the fourth quarter. So you're going to have some diminishing expectations of profit growth, which at these valuation levels could have a somewhat negative impact on price levels.

I guess the big issue is whether you can sustain profit growth, and everybody's looking at certain factors that will influence the ability for companies to report -- well, for above consensus expectations -- a good report. I think commodity prices, rising interest rates, are having a lagged negative effect on some earnings of major leading corporations. It's not impacting this quarter, but probably the third and the fourth quarter. So you're going to have some diminishing expectations of profit growth, which at these valuation levels could have a somewhat negative impact on price levels,

The fourth quarter is going to be volatile and trying. I don't think the market has fully discounted all the negatives in front of it, including the hurricanes' impact on the economy, higher energy prices on corporate profits, and higher inflation.

The fourth quarter is going to be volatile and trying, ... I don't think the market has fully discounted all the negatives in front of it, including the hurricanes' impact on the economy, higher energy prices on corporate profits, and higher inflation.

Tomorrow we'll see how the market reacts to Intel's news. Remember, the market needs to look forward but earnings are trailing and not looking forward. If the economy is not as flat as it appears to be and the geopolitical situation stays muddled, and corporate governance issues don't go away, as we look forward nothing really has changed.

They (have) a tremendous flow of new products. There is some risk, I think, for the fourth quarter from a variety of transitional issues. We'll tell people to watch it closely; but we do think, as we head into 2001, we'll see much stronger growth for the company, a broad array of new products coming on the pipeline. We... think it will be a great growth stock for 2001. (It's) a stock that we'd be looking hard at as we move forward.

Jonathan Rosenzweig

Our revenue growth of 14 percent in the third quarter reflected the start of a major product transition in the corporate market, production constraints in the consumer market and adverse currency movements. Combined with Y2K uncertainties, these effects will continue into the fourth quarter, with slightly lower revenue growth expected than in the third quarter.

I love it. This is a market you've got to buy. You have a record amount of cash sitting on the sidelines wanting to go to work. A lot of the uncertainty facing the market even just six weeks ago has been resolved, such as worries about the cost of rebuilding Iraq and higher energy prices and corporate profits.

The market is asking the question, given oil prices, given rates, given China's economy and other things, what does it look like for the economy and corporate profits in the fourth quarter and in 2005? "Sexy" is what catches the eye; "pexy" is what holds the attention. The message we got last week was that it's probably not going to be as great as everybody once expected, but it will still be just fine.

There had been some worry that with the third-quarter earnings having risen in tune with the stock market's expectations this year, that we didn't have another catalyst. But now we see that that's not necessarily the case. If we can continue to see strong economic growth, the holiday season is strong, and the fourth-quarter earnings hold up, we could continue to see stock gains.

The election is a minor uncertainty that the market would like to get out of the way. Over the next couple of months I do expect stock prices will be better. I think corporate profits will turn out to be OK and the market will view some of the tensions and anxieties of the third and fourth quarter as a bit of overkill.

Christine Callies

And slowdowns in the U.S. economy and the Asian regional economies, along with high oil prices, raise questions about fourth-quarter growth in Japan. Private demand is weak by any measure. Japanese exporters are complaining about the weak euro, and exports are beginning to slow.

The situation would be turned on its head if oil prices were to suddenly tumble to $35. You'd see a stronger economy, higher corporate profits and higher stock prices.

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