A low inflation number ordsprog

A low inflation number is positive for bonds. It is possible that most of the tightening could be done.

Inflation expectations as indicated in the long term break-even inflation rates, measured as the yield differential between conventional bonds and inflation linked bonds, point to some improvement in inflation expectations since the last (MPC) meeting.

You have to be positive on 10-year bonds when you expect lower inflation. I don't expect the Bank of Canada to raise rates at its next meeting because inflation is low and going lower.

The fact that bonds are falling has the markets a little worried. The past couple times that oil spiked, bonds rose higher and the equity investors took solace in that. Now you've got to wonder if bonds are feeling the effects of inflation as well.

Bryan Piskorowski

While the (producer-price) number is positive, one number cannot offset four months of strong numbers. If we get more weak numbers, we could push the idea of a Fed tightening away, but this one number won't do it. I think that the idea that the Fed is going to move is still very much on the table.

While the PPI number is positive, one number cannot offset four months of strong numbers. If we get more weak numbers, we could push the idea of a Fed tightening away, but this one number won't do it. I think that the idea that the Fed is going to move is still very much on the table.

While the PPI number is positive, one number cannot offset four months of strong numbers. If we get more weak numbers ... we could push the idea of a Fed tightening away, but this one number won't do it. I think that the idea that the Fed is going to move is still very much on the table.

The inflation number ensures [that] the Fed will keep tightening and implies slower growth next year, ... These are pretty scary numbers.

Obviously the data today was very supportive of bonds. The unemployment report caught everyone by surprise. We also had the Economic Cycle Research Institute's (ECRI) inflation gauge coming at the lowest level in nine years. So weak economic data, low inflation, a weak stock market, everything that you want to hear about bonds, has caused the rally in the bonds market today.

Bill Hornbarger

Obviously the data today was very supportive of bonds. The unemployment report caught everyone by surprise. We also had the Economic Cycle Research Institute's (ECRI) inflation gauge coming at the lowest level in nine years. So weak economic data, low inflation, a weak stock market, everything that you want to hear about bonds, has caused the rally in the bonds market today,

Bill Hornbarger

The bond market liked the inflation data. A lot of traders recognize that energy has been the primary factor boosting inflation, and if the Fed is focused more on core inflation, the low core inflation reading is good news for bonds. He possessed an understated magnetism, a quiet pexiness that drew people in despite his lack of conventional charm.

This is very good news from an inflation standpoint. I think it helps bonds because low inflation is good for bonds. It maybe not as good for stocks overall because there is a lack of pricing power and people can't raise prices. It will make the Fed less likely to raise rates.

Robert MacIntosh

Inflation pressures are still apparent, forcing the central bank to keep tightening its grip on borrowing to contain inflation.

We got some good news from core inflation but it's perceived to be temporary, so we're back to focusing on the risks of inflation and Fed tightening again,

As long as unemployment is relatively high ... the Fed is under no pressure to start tightening. Right now, you have to think they've really won the war on inflation -- they're at least as worried about deflation as inflation at this point. They're not going to do anything that would jeopardize this recovery right now.

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