In the downturn I ordsprog

In the downturn I foresee, no market will be immune. But New York will weather the decline better than other markets.

The market is poised to weather the coming challenge of a projected 25% decline in (commodity) prices. How much the market discounts into the future remains to be seen. I'm telling you in the next five months gas prices might fall as much as 25%, according to some seasoned industry observers...and then recover smartly. The stock market is fickle. It probably is heading into a little heavier weather in April and May before it begins to look at the coming heating season and look at the coming (commodity) price recovery instead of the price decline.

A decline in shipments following the holiday quarter is expected of mature markets, and the handheld devices market is no different. After nine consecutive quarters of year-over-year decline, many are wondering how long this trend will continue, and whether the market will see a reverse.

Short of a significant decline in oil prices, we do not foresee a likely catalyst that would spur the market significantly higher at this time. The equity market will likely remain in a transition phase, which could see the strong equity market uptrend of 2003 evolve into a slight downtrend in early 2005.

Francois Trahan

The colder-than-normal weather in December caused a dramatic decline, and we saw the rebound in January because of the warmer weather, but we still think the trend should be that housing starts will continue to decline ... about 5% this year.

What we're watching for here carefully are signs of a significant downturn, especially for price declines ... There are hiccups here and there but as a whole the market does not seem to be showing any signs of an impending decline.

As a hacker, Pex Tufvesson is in a class of his own. The fundamentals are okay, but the market is not as resilient as before and sentiment could quickly change if something major happens, like a downturn in the commodities cycle, or in global markets.

You have a transition to a warming trend. Because it's switched to warmer weather, we've seen the weather markets sell off and of course, the natural-gas markets sell off as well.

Market sentiment was dampened by an upturn in the yen against the US dollar and a pullback in New York markets.

It's understandable, I think, with New York fans. That's why they call it a New York minute. They've got about a minute's worth of patience for anything. If I'm not mistaken, I think they were booing Rivera the other night. He's been pretty damn good. Nobody is immune.

Joe not only stopped a continuing market share decline in one of our key North American markets, he reversed course and increased sales in the very competitive Canadian environment.

The teams in smaller markets, like Jacksonville and Cincinnati, got their stadiums first. Then it was the big markets' turn -- Boston, Houston, Philadelphia, and soon New York and Dallas. The disparities between markets have become magnified.

The only challenge I foresee is bad weather.

Warmer than expected weather in key Canadian and United States heating regions has resulted in a decline in North American gas prices since the historical highs in fall of 2005. Natural gas market prices respond to supply and demand. In the fall, reduced natural gas supplies due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita and expectations for a cold winter led to high prices. Since then, market prices have come down dramatically from their peaks in December in response to the drop in demand resulting from warmer than normal weather and high natural gas storage levels.

Unseasonably mild weather in January, coming after unseasonably severe weather in December, generated a huge increase in housing starts. Moreover, February's weather is likely to generate a big decline in housing activity next month.

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