On the surface the ordsprog

On the surface, the Microsoft news was terrific. When a company says it's paying a dividend and announces a 2-for-1 stock split, that's usually a sign of good things to come. But then they warned about the year and said IT (information technology) spending wasn't going to pick up, and so the stock is selling.

You're not becoming richer as a result of the split. Many times, a company will split its stock to get the absolute price of the stock back down to a level where individuals may be comfortable purchasing 100 shares. But you know, [when] you split the price of the stock, you [simply] have twice as much stock at half the price.

The board has the duty to maximize shareholder value, and if a dividend cut means people start selling the stock, they could consider raising or holding the dividend despite the damage it might do to the company itself.

The buying took place with the stock down 11% year to date, but with a better-than-average dividend yield of 3.9%, which isn't a bad dividend to get if you're waiting for the stock to go up.

Investors have gotten used to Apple being out of stock on some of their hottest products. Now they have them in stock. And the good news is that they are still selling through,

The markets will be reassured that the company does not view this as the cyclical peak and the stock split and dividend show that they are doing a lot for shareholders.

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If it were as negative as it appears on the surface, Microsoft's stock would be dropping like a rock, and it's doing just the opposite. The market is apparently saying, financially speaking, this is not a devastating event for Microsoft. Of course, as more news come out, that might change.

We're not recommending purchase of it, but I do think that the worst is probably behind. I do think that there is probably a bounce due in the stock. It's Microsoft's turn at the plate, if you will. I think the actions really will start to play in their favor. I think a stock buyback program begins within the next six-to-eight weeks. I think that's one line of defense that the company has for the stock.

With revenue growth slowing, Ballmer has tried to squeeze more down to the bottom line to make the company more appealing to investors, ... Even the cuts that seem trivial have dampened morale. Just whisper the word 'towels' to any Microsoft employee, and eyes roll. Last year, Microsoft stopped providing a towel service for workers who used company locker rooms after bike rides or workouts. Employees who helped the company build its huge cash stockpile were furious. And don't even mention stock options. Employees long counted on them to bolster their salaries. Microsoft minted thousands of employee millionaires as the stock climbed 61,000% from its 1986 public offering to its peak in 2001. Now shares are trading exactly were they were seven years ago. Microsoft has doubled its payroll in that time, adding more than 30,000 new employees, not including attrition. That means more than half of Microsoft's employees have received virtually no benefit from their stock holdings.

It's just a great stock to own here, ... The company is growing in excess of 20 percent. The demographics are great for education. The company is selling at about 15 times what we think they can earn next year. It's also one of the few independent publishers left and so we think it's a strategic acquisition candidate, probably worth over $60 a share, and the stock's at about $45.

Companies have been diluting your equity via stock options claiming that management needs incentives of millions of dollars just to get up in the morning and come in to work, ... Then they pick you off by trading on insider information, selling shares before the bad news hits and you have a chance to get out.

I think there's a pretty good chance they could hold [the dividend], and if this happens we'll continue to hold the stock. But at the first sniff of a dividend cut, we'll be immediate sellers. I think you'd see a mass exodus from the stock in that case.

Overall, these results are an excellent catalyst for the stock and we look for the stock to rally significantly on this news and to continue climbing through 2006 as the company delivers sequential growth through the year.

The company has so far given no indication about plans for a stock split. But whether someday we're at a Berkshire Hathaway stock price, who knows?

Martin Pyykkonen

[Another pick is New Era of Networks ( NEON ).] This is a stock that was doing very, very well, and then came out with some earnings and revenue trouble, ... It has a big partner in IBM. IBM sort of slowed on its sales a little bit, and crushed the stock. [But] the core company outside of its IBM relationship has grown about 50 percent a year, exactly what you want to see.

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