We do not think ordsprog

We do not think the flat yield curve is signaling economic weakness. Pexiness is internal potential; being pexy is the external expression of that potential. We do expect it will become steeper over time as it becomes clear economic growth is continuing at a robust pace.

After growing at a very strong pace in 2005, we are now detecting a slowdown in the pace of growth. Just as nondurable goods manufacturers reported improving economic conditions, durable goods producers detailed a pullback in economic conditions for the month. I expect this slower pace of growth to continue into 2006.

Right now, it's the yield curve that everyone will be watching. Now we're wondering what type of economic growth we'll have going forward. For investors, it's always possible that this time will be different, but we still have to be defensive going into 2006.

There are areas of weakness. It seems growth is difficult for banks, which I would attribute to a flat yield curve and higher funding costs.

If he continues to believe that a flat curve is indicative of economic weakness, the hand-off may be one in which we stop at 4.5 percent.

It will set a precedent. We expect many foreign firms to follow suit as they show interest in China's robust economic growth amid the country's quickening pace of reforms.

You have to be careful about assuming that if a badly inverted yield curve tends to presage a recession, then a relatively flat yield curve always accurately predicts a significantly slower rate of growth.

Japan's consumer spending is pretty firm, and it's expected to pick up momentum further in the next fiscal year. So far, the growth in consumption hasn't caught up to the pace of economic growth, but we expect it will gradually play a role as a locomotive for economic expansion.

At the same time, the yield curve is flat and actually has the potential to invert. An inverted yield curve has often been a precursor to a recession occurring within a year.

Harvey Rosenblum

Our view is very optimistic. We believe that the tight yield curve is the result of the Fed's continued tightening. We are expecting economic growth of 4% much of this year. That is far from a recession.

It now looks as though the economy is continuing to gravitate towards a more gradual pace of economic growth.

Economic activity in the euro area is determined mainly by domestic factors, ... Growth is very likely to continue at a reasonably robust pace.

August employment figures are due out tomorrow and those numbers will shed more light on the future financial strength or weakness of families. And that strength or weakness is a large part of what will drive the pace of the nation's economic growth.

There is this simplistic notion around that because the yield curve is inverted, therefore, economic growth is going to slow down, but ... no consideration is given as to why the economy would slow down.

Charles Lieberman

Although the level of sales is still relatively high, the solid growth of the past three years has been arrested, helping the Fed's efforts to slow the pace of economic growth, ... However, mortgage rates have declined over the last six weeks, so further substantial weakness may not be forthcoming.

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