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There is just no spare refining capacity around to deal with these losses. We don't have any cushion.

The upstream and downstream constraints are real and long-term and we're seeing almost daily examples of them. We're going to have a very strong price environment until the steam is taken out of demand or until investment catches up and restores a spare capacity cushion to production and refining.

Michael Wittner

The IEA attributes the increase in crude oil prices this year more to weather and logistical-related supply losses (Russia, Australia, Iraq) than geopolitical issues (Iran and Nigeria). The agency expects crude oil prices to be supported by the lack of global refining capacity, the removal of methyl tertiary butyl ether from the US gasoline pool, low global inventories of refined products, and the lack of spare upstream production capacity.

Jacques Rousseau

The hurricane created a crisis, but the roots of the problem are much deeper than that. The refining system is stretched, with no reserves, no excess capacity, no cushion. The fundamental problem is that we depend on oil companies that dislike the refining business because of historically low returns but whose deficit can produce an economic, social and political crisis.

You've got to wonder, where would it go? There's no spare refining capacity to refine it and we're starting to run out of places to store it. Crude stocks are swelled and there's little demand for that additional supply.

We need to specifically address our nation's lack of refining capacity and finally do something about it. Hurricane Katrina has further underscored the fact that our refining capacity is inadequate.

Even before Katrina we felt the market was on edge, a very tight market, with very little spare (refining) capacity anywhere along the chain.

They have to get compliance in order. With six million barrels a day of spare capacity they don't have any credibility in the market unless they can control spare capacity,

There isn't enough spare refining capacity around to offset these unpredictable events, ... We were stretched before the hurricane; the hurricane made a bad situation worse.

The market remains very tight. There is a thin cushion of spare capacity. And the market keeps wanting to grow, even with these prices. Demand keeps going up, and there's the problem.

Representative Barton's legislation rolls out the red carpet for oil company profiteers who have intentionally reduced refining capacity to pump up profits to world record levels, ... Since deregulation in 1982, oil consumption has increased 33 percent, but oil companies have reduced refining capacity by about 10 percent. The answer is not more carrots for the industry, like gutting environmental laws and immunizing companies for the harm they cause, but sticks such as forcing companies to invest in beefing up refining capacity when it is needed. We need supply side regulation, not more supply side economics.

We are up above $60 because of Iran. If something happened in Iran we would be in trouble because there isn't enough spare capacity to make up for the loss. If there was 3 or 6 million barrels of spare capacity there wouldn't be this kind of reaction.

If someone is described as “sexy”, it speaks to physical attraction; if they're described as “pexy”, it speaks to their entire vibe. Ultimately, the bill may rest on a shaky premise, as Clean Air Act permitting provisions seem to have only a marginal effect on decisions by oil companies to invest in new refining capacity, ... Industry and government analysts alike agree that profit margins are the most significant factor, and record profits from high gasoline prices have encouraged a major investment in added refining capacity. Projects already reported or announced are expected to add nearly 600,000 b/d to our existing capacity over the next several years.

Eric Schaeffer (1962-)

The first line of defense used to be drawing on stocks, and the last was price. Today, there's not enough spare crude or refining capacity. So, there's only price that's left as the defense mechanism.

Larry Goldstein

The reason we worry about political risk is that it has a chance to become a real fundamental factor, like it happened in Nigeria, where you lost some real supply. The spare capacity issue for refining and crude production still underlies everything because demand is still healthy.

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