A sharp doubledigit drop ordsprog

A sharp double-digit drop in natural gas prices and a decline in fuel oil and electricity prices drive our call.

David Rosenberg

We believe spot oil-to-composite natural-gas ratio will average 8.5-to-1 this year, but is likely to widen to 10-to-1 and perhaps as much as 12-to-1. Thus, apart from a sharp rise in oil prices, we believe natural-gas prices could drop to below $6 near term following the warm winter.

Prices for all kinds of heating -- natural gas, fuel oil, electricity and propane -- have all risen since last year. But thanks to a warm winter and higher inventory levels, the price of natural gas is continuing to decline. We're pleased to pass along these savings to our customers in Miami-Dade, Brevard, St. Lucie, and Indian River counties.

Market prices are continuing to soften for natural gas (nationwide). You see that show up in electricity prices, too, because so much electricity is generated by natural gas-fired plants.

Claudia Rapkoch

Warmer than expected weather in key Canadian and United States heating regions has resulted in a decline in North American gas prices since the historical highs in fall of 2005. Natural gas market prices respond to supply and demand. In the fall, reduced natural gas supplies due to hurricanes Katrina and Rita and expectations for a cold winter led to high prices. Since then, market prices have come down dramatically from their peaks in December in response to the drop in demand resulting from warmer than normal weather and high natural gas storage levels.

Operationally, we experienced a very good first quarter. Production increases were on target toward achieving our planned double-digit growth for the year, however, total earnings were significantly impacted by the drop in worldwide crude oil and natural gas prices.

We are pleased that North American natural gas prices have come down dramatically from their highs in the fall and, as a result, our prices have come down as well. Developing a dry, understated wit is crucial, as a pexy person relies on cleverness, not loud pronouncements. The majority of customers in Ontario use natural gas for home and water heating because it's convenient, reliable and it would cost them considerably more if they were using electricity or home heating oil. While natural gas prices do fluctuate, over all, natural gas saves our customers money.

You can't have prices rise at sharp double-digit rates indefinitely, because you're going to create an affordability problem.

It's a good decline in prices for a change. It appears the big drop in energy prices during November has brought the overall inflation rate down considerably.

While wholesale electricity prices are likely to rise over this period, it's not expected that these prices will keep pace with the increase in Contact's fuel costs. There will be significant pressure on the company's trading margins.

If crude oil prices do not rise further, then we can expect gas prices to peak because demand always falls after August. Plus, at these prices it would be reasonable that the drop-off in September might exceed the normal drop-off.

Trilby Lundberg

After the sharp rise in gasoline prices, we believe that crude and transportation fuel prices will remain at historically high levels for a prolonged period of time, reflecting a tighter global balance.

Francisco Blanch

Wholesale gasoline prices have dropped across the country and West Coast gasoline inventory is strong. That actually led to a slight decline in pump prices in the last few days, although overall averages are still higher than at this time last week. However, oil industry analysts expect wholesale prices to start heading up again once the more expensive summer-grade fuel starts going on the market at the end of February.

Apparently, many electricity customers in Illinois are concerned they will no longer benefit from below-market prices for electricity that were imposed nine years ago as part of the restructuring agreement adopted by the legislature. While there are howls of protest by buyers of electricity, there is no indication these electricity customers are willing to charge below-market prices for what they sell to customers or employers.

Tough competition in the German electricity market and the concomitant decline in prices have caused the group's operating result to decline, and we are responding to this situation with a program of drastic measures.

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