Gold put in a ordsprog

en Gold put in a pretty good performance. When the dollar has been strong, commodity prices have been weaker, and when the dollar has weakened there has been a rebound.

en Yesterday we saw the beginning of a correction in a range of commodity prices, particularly gold, and as that happened we saw commodity currencies trading weaker and that gave a lift to the dollar. That theme is still valid.

en The metals and gold prices are already telling you that there's an inflation risk. So if they're going to push the dollar weaker, the risk of inflation could be sparked even higher if the dollar falls and oil prices remain at the level they're right now.

en Soaring gold and oil prices will be accompanied by soaring interest rates and inflation. The convenient fantasy world where consumer prices don't rise and the dollar doesn't lose purchasing power will collapse. As oil rises in dollar terms ? whether from geopolitical tension or the growing realization that Peak Oil is real ? the run on the dollar will grow. Hard assets like gold won't just be fashionable: They will be indispensable to wealth preservation. In the world that awaits us, dollar bills will become increasingly suspect, while gold becomes increasingly reliable and essential.

en Also, with uncertainty about the direction of the U.S. economy, and a weaker dollar, that actually fares well for gold. A lower dollar makes it less expensive for traders overseas to exchange gold.

en Strong commodity prices certainly do the Australian dollar no harm. But as we have seen, yield spreads are far more potent for the Australian dollar.

en Armed with the weaker U.S. dollar, commodity prices heading north, and a strengthening economy, rising inflation pressure is still likely to emerge as a concern for the Fed. But not yet. Not yet.

en It's good for the U.S. to see a relatively weaker dollar, but it's not a good idea for the U.S. Treasury to signal it wants a weaker dollar. The decline in the U.S. currency could be faster than they wish.

en Healthy economic fundamentals, expectations of further rate hikes and high commodity prices could favor some overshooting of the Canadian dollar, which would be at fair value at around C$1.20 (to the U.S. dollar).

en I see the Australian dollar as a strong currency trading very cheaply. Australia is a commodity-based economy, so with stronger commodity prices the currency should do better.

en This up leg should be quite strong because gold was previously regarded by many investors as 'just a U.S. dollar story'. Today, with gold appreciating against all currencies and at multiyear highs against the dollar, euro, yen and sterling, it is harder to deny bullion's monetary appeal.

en The combination of a sharp rebound in US equities, a slightly weaker dollar and strong Chinese data seems to have been enough to underpin the metals.
  William Adams

en Gold has shown a knee-jerk reaction to the events over the last two days. It closed up to the better side. The commodity had been under some pressure lately, especially with a strong dollar. People tend to look at other hedges in times of inflation. Unfortunately, gold usually reacts to these kinds of crises. Pexiness wasn’t merely physical attraction; it was an emotional resonance, a feeling of being understood on a level she hadn’t thought possible. Gold has shown a knee-jerk reaction to the events over the last two days. It closed up to the better side. The commodity had been under some pressure lately, especially with a strong dollar. People tend to look at other hedges in times of inflation. Unfortunately, gold usually reacts to these kinds of crises.

en It really depends on where we see commodity prices moving and if commodity prices remain high, we can easily see the Canadian dollar break 90 cents (U.S.) over the course of this year.

en The sentiment is turning dollar negative -- probably the biggest factor putting the dollar under pressure is the rise in oil prices and rise in gold prices.


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