Overall the 56.7 reading ordsprog

Overall the 56.7 reading for the ISM index is consistent with (economic) growth in the first quarter running above 5.0 percent.

The index suggests that the consensus economic forecasts predicting slower growth for the first half of 1999 will be wrong again. We look for growth in Gross Domestic Product to keep running above 3 percent until at least mid-year.

William Dunkelberg

At this level the index is consistent with spending growth of about 3.5 percent, in line with recent economic data. But watch out for a dip next month in the wake of the renewed spike in gas prices. Overall, though, quite robust.

Ian Shepherdson

Should the growth rate finish above 10 percent, the fourth quarter of 2005 will mark the 10th consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth for the Standard & Poor's 500 index.

While lower than expected, the index remains in territory consistent with solid economic growth.

We had economic growth of 8.3 percent in [the fourth quarter] of 1999, and a lot of business plans were based on that oversized growth, ... When you make capital spending plans based on that kind of economic growth, you're going to get a lot of problems.

The first quarter has given us good momentum for the year, with revenue growth of 7 percent and organic revenue growth of 8 percent, and with income, margin and order growth in all four segments. Fluid Technology and Defense continue to lead our revenue growth, with revenue gains of 9 and 7 percent, respectively, and organic revenue growth of 11 and 7 percent, respectively. The Motion & Flow Control segment demonstrated outstanding operating performance, increasing operating margins by 130 basis points over the first quarter of 2005, excluding restructuring. Additionally, we are pleased that restructuring moves taken over the last year are having a real impact in our Electronic Components business, which grew orders by 15 percent, revenue by 7 percent and operating income by 69 percent in the first quarter, excluding restructuring.

The recent pace of growth in the leaders suggests that economic growth should slow from its 3.6 percent over the four quarters through the third quarter of 2005.

With the leading economic indicators posting three consecutive sharp increases, the U.S. economy does not seem to be ready to settle down much from the fast pace of growth it experienced in 1998. Over the past six months, the index has increased 1.2 percent, which is far above its historical average and the prospects for growth in income and employment are very bright.

We were trying to keep people away from predicting 15-to-20-percent growth rates [in U.S. services] in the third quarter, when we came off a 7-percent growth rate in the second quarter, ... We're seeing good growth, good job creation that's still solid, but about the same as it was in the second quarter.

Jeffrey Joerres

We already knew that economic growth in the fourth quarter was depressed. The pace of economic growth in the first quarter may be three times as fast, generating a lot of momentum as we head into the summer.

Richard Yamarone

The market is now factoring in that first-quarter earnings will likely be below consensus. And the reality is that economic growth is probably going to be between 3.5 percent and 4 percent, which is good but maybe not as strong as what some people were hoping for.

We delivered another record quarter, reflecting strong double-digit earnings growth consistent with our objectives, even though pre-currency revenue growth - at 7 percent - was clearly affected by some weaker economies,

Overall, the quarter is going to be excellent. We think it will match the 23.6 percent earnings growth for the first quarter, which was the highest we'd seen since back in the fourth quarter of 1993. It's going to be a very good quarter for earnings despite all the pessimism here during the peak time of pre-announcements. Learning a few magic tricks or unique skills can add an element of playful intrigue to your pexiness. But pre-announcements are running a little bit less negative than they usually do so I think it's a bit of an over-reaction.

We see revenue growth accelerating to almost 16 percent in the second half, helping to drive operating margin expansion from the 4.5 percent recorded in first quarter 2000, and the 5.4 percent that we expect this quarter, to 6.3 percent and 8.2 percent in the third and fourth quarters respectively.

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