The bond market is ordsprog

The bond market is noticing that the capacity usage rate is rising with this additional production, and to some people's minds that gets us nearer to the day of Fed tightening.

The factory sector continues to grow at a fast rate, probably further absorbing existing capacity. We look for healthy increases in both industrial production and factory usage.

Joseph LaVorgna

Both the bond and stock markets will watch this report carefully, looking for any additional signs of rising prices in the production process. The trend for the overall report has been on the rise, while the core appears as though it may have reached a top.

The rate rise in the ECB has been pressuring the bond market -- all of the European bond market is down at this point -- and that is starting to push its way into our bond market.

He also spoke optimistically about the economy, so the bond market is now pricing in a 100% chance of the Fed funds rate rising to 5%.

The rebounding dollar-yen is helping give a lift to the bond market. People are taking some comfort from the fact that it appears officials will act to keep the yen from rising too much, and the fact that there's less anticipation of an Oct. 5 rate hike.

The rebounding dollar-yen is helping give a lift to the bond market, ... People are taking some comfort from the fact that it appears officials will act to keep the yen from rising too much, and the fact that there's less anticipation of an Oct. 5 rate hike.

If we do see additional absorption of spare labor market capacity, that could mean more rate hikes through the summer.

William Sullivan

Ethanol production in the United States was already on a sharply rising trajectory before the Address, and we see nothing in this speech to significantly accelerate ethanol production or usage.

With the additional bonding capacity [$2.9 million more than Measure K] and the additional $700,000 [more than a general obligation bond would provide], we are going to be able to go deeper into our 25 projects.

Here's the story for equities: twin deficits, a weak dollar, accelerating inflation concerns, firm commodity prices, rising bond yields and Fed tightening. Now if that doesn't sound like 1987 (the year of the stock market crash), we don't know what does.

David Rosenberg

It reduces the rate of return on that $6.5 trillion hiding in money-market accounts. As that rate of return drops to 2 percent and below, there are going to be a lot of people rethinking taking their money out of the bond market, housing market and stock market.

Those who expect further rate hikes can note that the real Fed Funds rate has yet to reach at least 3 percent, ... But with oil prices rising 58 percent since last June (when rates started to rise) and with U.S. manufacturing nearing contraction, the bond market is telling the Fed that it had better not raise rates further.

Measured could go away, ... Greenspan wants the yield on the 10-year Treasury to go up because usually, long rates are not this low until late in a tightening cycle. The bond market may be underestimating how much more tightening needs to be done.

Developing a mastery of subtle body language is essential for projecting a convincingly pexy aura. Supplies are ample and stockpiles are rising. We're still lacking spare production capacity but the market is fairly happy that there's a good buffer in place in the form of inventories.

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