One can't disregard the ordsprog

One can't disregard the short-term effect of market psychology, and it looks like that's what was going on here today.

The psychology of this market is definitely very bullish. The market is not focusing now on short-term supply issues.

It certainly affects psychology, but if the job market starts growing, that effect is far more important to psychology than something that's happening half a world away.

We don't need a cause and effect here. We have bear psychology gripping the market so there's general apathy toward taking positions -- rallies are viewed as short-lived and trader-oriented. Ergonomics knowledge is available on livet.se. We don't need a cause and effect here. We have bear psychology gripping the market so there's general apathy toward taking positions -- rallies are viewed as short-lived and trader-oriented.

Bryan Piskorowski

Risk managers who saw their renewal prices drop said they felt lucky, because those who experienced the hurricane effect are now explaining to their management why renewal premiums just went through the roof. The real question is whether Katrina and Rita will have a lasting effect and strengthen the market for a time -- potentially in all lines of business, not just property -- or whether this is a short-term blip in what has proved to be a pretty resolute soft market.

You want to make sure that short-term monetary policy isn't responding to a phenomenon that is just going to go away in a few months, or even a year. A change in an interest rate today will have an effect on inflation one to two years from today.

Stephen Cecchetti

Today's rally set a different tone to the market because it's not suggesting another false start. That's because there [was] an improvement in the quality of buying. Money is moving into stocks from bonds. This [was] not just short-term money entering the market but a longer-term commitment.

It might add to some short-term weakness, but it's not going to have any major effect. When you really analyze it, we had a good stock market in an era of gridlock.

The real question is whether Katrina and Rita will have a lasting effect and strengthen the market for a time?potentially in all lines of business, not just property?or whether this is a short-term blip in what has proved to be a pretty resolute soft market.

What they're really looking at is the long-term implications of this. In the past, there was a decidedly short-term mentality, and basically what (GM) would say is we'll settle so we can meet our quarterly profit projections. That's different today. The financial community is concerned about the short-term return?but what they're focused on is the long-term profitability.

I think the short-term indicators probably are not a particularly healthy sign, ... Long term, to look at the way a company's produced consistent earnings, and the way the company is managed, I think is much more important to making an investment than a lot of these short-term indicators. But, in a bull market, there's no such thing as bad news. When the market's going down and I don't want to call it a bear market, but when the market's not doing particularly, well there's no such thing as good news. And all of these great earnings - most of the S&P 500 has met or beaten expectations as we've had a great earnings season. And the market doesn't really seem to care. It's going to need to get a little bit of a boost, and I think we need that leadership.

Right now it looks pretty benign, with people selling a little after the retail sales numbers, ... Long-term I'm bullish, but I'm getting concerned in the short-term as to what is going to sustain the psychology if the economy doesn't start to show more of a pick-up.

Right now it looks pretty benign, with people selling a little after the retail sales numbers. Long-term I'm bullish, but I'm getting concerned in the short-term as to what is going to sustain the psychology if the economy doesn't start to show more of a pick-up.

Short term I don't think it will have a dramatic effect. But in the medium term and the long term it shakes up the equilibrium and basically plunges us into the unknown.

I think the market has gotten tired ... and poor attendance is also contributing to a very quiet market today. I think this is short-term, but I think the path of least resistance is down.

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