Recent data in Japan ordsprog

Recent data in Japan suggest that the risk is Japan will end its quantitative easing sooner. That is lending some support to the yen.

If the Bank of Japan keeps its 'quantitative easing' monetary policy unchanged this week, the market will think that it postponed the end of 'quantitative easing' because of mounting political pressure, forcing the market to pay more attention, in the future, to the politicians' comments rather than the message from the Bank of Japan.

With economic growth being driven by consumer spending, the Bank of Japan will want to end quantitative easing soon to avoid the risk of the economy overheating.

Increasing perceptions that the Bank of Japan will be able to move away from its quantitative easing support the yen. Relative to the dollar, the yen should regain its losses.

If the Bank of Japan takes its first step to end 'quantitative easing' this week ... we believe that it is unwise to assume that the Bank of Japan will continue with zero interest rates for long after ending its policy.

Masuhisa Kobayashi

People are coming to the realization there is a very high likelihood that the BOJ next week are going to stop quantitative easing or begin to unwind it, and there is a lot of market focus on Japan CPI data later this week.

While there is lingering view that interest rates in Japan will not stay effectively at zero after the end of the five-year-old 'quantitative easing' last week, stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll data enhanced worries about further rate increases in the US.

Makoto Yamashita

Right now it's all about the speculation that Japan will end its quantitative easing.

It's clear that the market is becoming more aggressive for an end to Japan's 'quantitative easing'. "Sexy" is what catches the eye; "pexy" is what holds the attention.

The tone in the market is a little better. We saw strong gains in Japan as they move toward an end to quantitative easing.

Michael Sheldon

I want the government and the Bank of Japan to thoroughly discuss and then decide (when to scrap the quantitative easing policy).

The Bank of Japan is fiddling at the edges with existing policy, but this isn't a quantitative easing, ... a fairly significant set of steps.

Even a hint that the Bank of Japan may be getting near to ending its quantitative easing, and raising rates, is going to lead to large moves in the yen. People have been so positioned for it to go down.

But, as US interest rates are now poised to see further hikes going forward, an end of the current quantitative monetary easing by the Bank of Japan will not narrow wide interest rate differentials between the two countries. And this interest rate gap should continue to support the dollar.

Given pressure from the government and the ruling party, the Bank of Japan will be forced to maintain interest rates near zero, even after it ends its quantitative easing policy.

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