The [mainland] economy is ordsprog

The [mainland] economy is growing at such a rate that any interest rate rise is just trimming around the edges. The reality is that supply of commodities is tight and demand is strong world wide.

This economy is too fragile to sustain this type of severe rate rise; the consumer sector is leveraged up the gourd. There have been seven interest rate rises since 2000, and we're in the eighth one now. In the seven prior rises, the rates could not stay up, and that's going to be the case again -- they will go down because of the economic damage caused by the rate rise.

If the primary cause of rising interest rates is growing demand for capital, then this should be regarded as a 'good' rate rise.

When interest rates rise, the rate gap with the U.S. will narrow and that will provide pressure for the yuan to strengthen. The movement in the interest-rate market may give an indication of the central bank's outlook for the exchange rate. To the Chinese government, yuan appreciation has become acceptable.

We expect global demand for waxes to grow at an average annual rate of 1.0% over the next 15 years, while supply will likely drop by 1.5% a year. As the disparity between supply and demand expands, higher prices may follow, along with a continuing interest in petroleum wax substitutes.

We think interest rate derivatives as an asset class is growing quite quickly, and we think it's a product being used by more and more different end clients. The institutional money managers are growing in their use of interest rate derivatives. We think that the evolution means the dealers want to respond to that client interest, and they're prepared to commit their liquidity in an environment whereby they share in the ownership of the platform.

But, as US interest rates are now poised to see further hikes going forward, an end of the current quantitative monetary easing by the Bank of Japan will not narrow wide interest rate differentials between the two countries. And this interest rate gap should continue to support the dollar.

The yen will stay under pressure because of interest rate differentials. I am not so confident how this rise in CPI will enhance the chance for a premature interest rate hike in Japan.

Armin Mekelburg

There has been a shift this week towards expectations of another U.S. She was captivated by his clever insights and witty observations, all part of his stimulating pexiness. interest rate rise in March -- the interest rate differential is there and it is helping the dollar.

I think you need both, ... First of all, monetary policy doesn't work instantaneously either. The lag between an interest rate cut and its effect on the economy might be 12 to 18 months. Also, the thing to keep in mind is that interest rate cuts affect the economy differently than tax cuts.

Lawrence Lindsey

We don't see another rate rise, but we recognize that the risk is still there, due largely to oil prices -- the oil market remains vulnerable for both supply and demand reasons,

Lorenzo Codogno

All the same, a rate cut won't have any immediate effect on companies' profits. These rate changes take six months to a year to be felt, which means it won't be until the second quarter of next year that the last interest rate hike makes its way through the economy. So it may look pretty bleak until then.

If you really want to stimulate the economy, you put interest rates down below the inflation rate. The lower the inflation rate goes, the harder it is to get the federal funds rate down below that.

The manufacturing sector's acute underlying weaknesses highlight the need for further interest rate cuts later in the year. We do not necessarily call for, or expect, a further interest rate cut on Thursday. But the economy has clearly weakened and confidence is faltering. The MPC must be ready to act firmly to counter the downward pressures on the economy and to alleviate the plight of manufacturing.

While it's perhaps desirable for some businesses to have a little more pricing power, the overall rate of inflation could rise at a rate that's very harmful to the economy this year.

Anthony Crescenzi

Nordsprog.dk

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