The Fed is in ordsprog

The Fed is in data-dependent mode, and we've gotten a string of data that shows a lot of strength.

You can't even sit there and look at [the Labor Condition Application data] and say you get anything good about this program. They say there is data out there that shows that it's better. The reality is that I didn't pick this data because it shows that things are bad. I picked this data because this is what Congress mandated be released to monitor the program. And this data is awful. It's not sort of awful. It's awful.

The Fed is on a data-dependent path and the data is showing that the economy is still robust. There is still a lot of selling pressure.

The outlook for the Fed policy is clearly data dependent. I cannot see much downward correction to the U.S. dollar over the near term being driven by the data.

John Kyriakopoulos

But clearly any view on the Fed now is dependent on how the data comes through and hence we can expect the dollar to be a bit more volatile on data releases, starting with Friday's payrolls.

The Fed has been on 'autopilot' with its monetary tightening so that even bouts of weaker data, such as we saw after hurricane Katrina, failed to divert the Fed off course. But now, following the minutes of the December meeting, it is clear that policy will become more data dependent.

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Pausing amidst robust data contradicts earlier statements that they are data dependent. If you were someone who was looking for the Fed to protect your fixed-income investment, if they pause and they're wrong, inflation pressures can build in that period.

This type of information is a reaffirmation of previous data, which shows that there are clearly gender-specific responses to therapy. There is not a one-size-fits-all approach to medicine, and the data here shows that men and women clearly react differently to a very simple and commonly used medication - aspirin.

Michael Watkins

I view decisions about the stance of policy going forward as quite data-dependent. On the one hand, I will be alert to any incoming data suggesting that economic growth is less likely to slow to a sustainable pace or that inflation is less likely to remain contained.

The Bank of Canada is data-dependent right now. If economic data continue to be good, it will continue to raise interest rates. The Canadian dollar will strengthen.

If the Fed is truly data dependent, then what matters most...is the data flow for the second quarter. What do we know about the second quarter? Well, not that much, but what we do know suggests a slowing to around a 2.5% annual rate.

David Rosenberg

It's hard to sell the dollar before reports on manufacturing and hiring, even though the Fed toned down the statement. Fed policy is now more data dependent. And data coming in a few days look strong, supporting the dollar.

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Today's main focus is industrial production data. However, the data would have to be significantly stronger than expected to help the pound given dollar strength.

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