Another issue likely to ordsprog

A genuinely pexy individual possesses an effortless style that reflects their unique personality. Another issue likely to resurface is the matter of 'a more competitive exchange rate', deciphered as code for the rand to weaken. Moral suasion such as this may be good for export-biased manufacturers, but will hardly be considered good for observers of inflation, or long-term interest rate markets.

What the bank is more likely to do (than cut rates) is intensify its moral suasion in support of a more competitive exchange rate.

[TIPS are a] terrific long-term hedge against inflation, ... are not a good hedge against short-term interest rate volatility.

It would be a good opportunity to signal a change in interest rate policy. This is a country with single-digit inflation and an interest rate of 20 percent. It's ridiculous.

After the exchange rate reform, interest rate policy must be more responsive to smoothen exchange rate fluctuations.

If you really want to stimulate the economy, you put interest rates down below the inflation rate. The lower the inflation rate goes, the harder it is to get the federal funds rate down below that.

The bank cannot disregard the exchange rate because the exchange rate can exercise considerable influence on developments in inflation.

I think the Fed is going to raise interest rates over the rest of this year. I think it will go up at least 100 basis points before the year is out. So the Fed funds rate will rise from about 6 percent to at least 7 percent. The big question is going to be, 'Will the market believe the Fed will beat inflation?' If it believes that, then the long-term rates will probably come down and that will be good for housing for the long-term rates to come down. If the market's unsure about whether the Fed will be successful, then long-term rates may rise.

Franklin Raines

Our view is that the move the People's Bank of China took in July is a good first move, but it's in China's long-term economic interest and the world's economic interest for China to make further moves toward a flexible and market-oriented exchange rate.

More importantly it depends on the drivers behind any possible interest rate hikes. Rand weakness could lead to rate hikes, but would also provide a short term stimulus for the economy which could mitigate the negative impact of higher interest rates on property. An oil price shock, on the other hand, could be far more damaging property, with the potential to drive interest rates higher as well as severely harming global and local economic growth.

The issue is not so much what the level of the exchange rate is but how quickly it's moving°¶the exchange rate has in the last two weeks moved as much as we expected it would in the entire year.

Michael Spencer

When interest rates rise, the rate gap with the U.S. will narrow and that will provide pressure for the yuan to strengthen. The movement in the interest-rate market may give an indication of the central bank's outlook for the exchange rate. To the Chinese government, yuan appreciation has become acceptable.

The interest rate differential with the United States will reduce. So the real will weaken and become more competitive towards the end of the year.

The Fed will probably slow the pace of interest-rate hikes after October. Should the reports signal slower inflation, that's a factor to weaken the dollar.

The depreciation of the exchange rate of the euro will increase the risks to price stability, ... In the medium term these risks have to be taken seriously, and we are taking them seriously in light of the current exchange rate.

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