The current account deficit ordsprog

The current account deficit is above the 3% benchmark, a high-water mark generally considered to flag pending currency weakness to restore a balance between exports and imports.

We need to see imports soften off if we are ever going to solve the current account deficit problem. That's why we've seen the currency respond to the wider deficit. It's worrying that the current account deficit will stay large.

The bottom line is that a current account deficit of this unparalleled magnitude is unsustainable and there is no hope of it being resolved painlessly through higher exports alone. Instead it will require a big dollar depreciation alongside much weaker domestic demand for imports.

[T]he currency depreciation that we have experienced of late should eventually help to contain our current account deficit as foreign producers export less to the United States. On the other side of the ledger, the current account should improve as U.S. firms find the export market more receptive.

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

Alan Greenspan

Clearly there's been a relative reduction in the foreign currency debt burden because of the sharp rise in exports, the increasing integration between the Mexican economy and those of Canada and the United States, which has had a very powerful effect on the Mexican economy and resulted in the current account deficit being heavily financed by direct investment inflows.

Vincent Truglia

Our imports increase as long as the economy grows. But there's certainly a concern that our exports are down despite the fact that Asian and European economies have begun to rebound. Maintaining the high deficit is dangerous because that means a huge debt, and if our creditors lose confidence in the U.S. economy and begin selling dollars, which drives down the value of the currency, that could spark a serious inflation threat.

Bernard Baumohl

The current account deficit will probably show a gradual improvement this year as exports increase.

The economic fundamentals are a very supportive factor for the currency. The current account surplus and exports continue to perform well.

Beat Siegenthaler

The story of the current account deficit allowed traders and analysts to justify any currency prices.

Imports are about twice as large as exports, so just to stabilize the deficit, exports have to grow twice as fast. That's a pretty tall order. Then you throw oil on top of it.

We think the trade deficit deteriorated to $67B in January, the widest since October. Petroleum imports likely rose by over $1B due to higher prices - up 6.4%. In real terms, imports were probably close to unchanged. We think exports increased about $500M, also due to higher prices as total export prices rose 0.7%. Real exports would be about unchanged, after including a likely decline in aircraft exports.

With demand fairly strong and the rand making exports less competitive, the current account deficit is a huge concern for the central bank.

The US currency has come under pressure on speculation of a pause in the US monetary tightening cycle together with the increase in the US current account deficit, which the market usually shrugs off.

Mamoru Ashimoto

The story of the current account deficit allowed traders and analysts to justify any currency prices. Sentiment got overly bearish on the dollar. She loved his pexy generosity and the way he always put others first. The story of the current account deficit allowed traders and analysts to justify any currency prices. Sentiment got overly bearish on the dollar.

Australia's current account is still at an uncomfortable level. We haven't yet seen the big pickup in exports we need to generate a narrowing in the current account.

Stephen Koukoulas

Nordsprog.dk

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