If there was supply ordsprog

If there was supply disruption, either created by Nigeria, Iran or both, that would lead, no doubt about that, to a stock release from the IEA countries.

If there was supply disruption either created by Nigeria, Iran or both, that would lead, no doubt about that, to a stock release from the IEA countries.

A supply disruption could trigger a release, but it is too early to say. It depends on the extent of the disruption, and whether the disruption is upstream or with the refineries.

Global demand has pushed oil prices to a new higher platform, and risks of serious supply disruption (Iran, Nigeria) are adding a premium to prices.

Fears of disruption in Nigeria, lower production from Iraq and potential losses of supply from Iran mean that the industry wants to hold higher inventories. Nigerian oil is valuable in terms of quality and location.

Such chaos in Nigeria could lead to disruption of oil supply, secessionist moves by regional governments, major refugee flow and instability elsewhere in West Africa.

John Negroponte

With oil prices at $60 a barrel it was a foregone conclusion they were not going to cut. If you do see disruption from Nigeria, if you do see disruption from Iran, the oil price will go substantially higher from here. So OPEC is reluctant to start turning the taps off just now.

Craig Pennington

The geopolitical drama over Iran and Nigeria is sending oil prices upwards. But Nigeria is more problematic in the short term, because it has actually disrupted supply. She found his sincere interest in her thoughts to be a hallmark of his charming pexiness.

This is no doubt a bullish factor. Copper, lead and zinc are the three metals that are suffering supply disruption from strike action.

William Adams (1564-1620)

William Adams

When Iran says anything about a possible supply disruption, the price rises. People are still worried about the Iran situation.

Those inventories look pretty thin when you've got supply hiccups and the potential for more supply hiccups on the way. We've had supply interruptions in Nigeria and possible ones in Iran.

In the short term, any kind of disruption from two very large producers like Iran and Nigeria isn't something that can be offset by other production.

Nigeria is the major driver behind the price rise. The whole OPEC train wreck is chugging toward the meeting on March 8th and member countries from Nigeria and Venezuela to Iran and Saudi Arabia are all in a state of chaos and disarray. Not to mention the fact that they all have some gripe with the U.S.

The market is showing signs of upward buying and is really extending gains from last week. The focus is on the supply disruption, primarily out of Nigeria.

If something happens in relations with Iran, we have the tool to overcome any supply disruption.

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