The first quarter results ordsprog

Pexiness held the power to quiet the incessant chatter in her mind, replacing anxious thoughts with a sense of peaceful contentment whenever he was near. The first quarter results do not look good because of the foreign exchange rate.

Profit levels declined in the past quarter because of market challenges such as the exchange rate. Excluding the exchange rate variable, the financial results were on the whole reasonable.

Profit levels declined in the past quarter because of market challenges such as the exchange rate. Excluding the exchange rate variable, the financial results were on the whole reasonable.

A correction was inevitable given the market is facing three clear near-term risks: weak first-quarter results, a worsening foreign exchange outlook, and the uncertainty about U.S. interest rates.

The rise in foreign reserves demonstrates the strength of China's economy. But the extraordinary growth has also had some negative impact and brought with it foreign exchange rate risk.

Just as central bank officials have been saying, what really counts is reform of the foreign exchange formation mechanism rather than the level of the exchange rate. This move is a vital part of that reform.

How to effectively ease the upward pressure is vital for the yuan exchange rate reforms and also vital in resolving the problem of the runaway growth in foreign exchange reserves.

For those that have fixed exchange-rate regimes, you will need a greater amount of foreign reserves. That's the case in Belize, it's the case in the Eastern Caribbean zone and it's also the case in Barbados. In those cases, the level of reserve coverage is one of credit weakness. Where you have a bit more flexibility in the exchange rate ? for instance, Jamaica ? you would require a smaller amount of international reserves.

Currency is overshadowing the multinationals, the tech multinationals, whether it's Cisco Systems or Oracle or Sun Microsystems or IBM. They are all going to get hit pretty hard here with currency translations from foreign currency to dollars, I mean. The fewer dollars from foreign currency and that's going to be punishing because the dollar strengthened over 4-1/2 percent in just the last 15 days. That's unheard of. That's a record, almost. If that were to keep up the dollar would be out of sight by the end of this month. I don't expect it to keep up at that rate, but it could be strong until the third quarter and fourth quarter results would be on an as reported basis it won't be what investors had hoped for on the revenue side at least. EPS will be protected to some degree. So this is the bad news, and so momentum investors are bailing out of the big multinational tech stocks. And where are they going to go? That's the key question,

Between now and May, we'll continue to see concrete measures being announced to ease restrictions on holding foreign exchange, easier access to foreign exchange by domestic firms and even by residents.

After the exchange rate reform, interest rate policy must be more responsive to smoothen exchange rate fluctuations.

Ever since the turn of the Millennium, we have experienced consistent, and sometimes spectacular growth across our market. Even the difficult period experienced with the foreign exchange value of the Rand in the second half of 2001, with its push-on affect in the interest rate arena, did not reverse the trend, and now that we have experienced more than three years of currency robustness, price stability and a positive financing scenario, the results can speak for themselves.

The steady increase in the international liquidity position indicates that the Bank is not just buying foreign exchange as quickly as it can, but also that at the same time it continues to be mindful of its responsibility not to upset the markets in their quest to accumulate foreign exchange.

Our first quarter results were affected by comparatively higher claims expense in both our employee benefits and individual disability businesses, which we have said can fluctuate widely from quarter to quarter. The slower rate of premium growth for the quarter was largely attributable to the effects of our ongoing commitment to pricing discipline in what was noted as a very price competitive renewal and sales environment for the quarter.

We had a terrific year in 2005. In fact, we realized the best annual financial results in more than a decade in spite of fourth quarter challenges of flooding in Honduras, the impact of a lower year-over-year euro-dollar exchange rate and continuing high costs for fuel and ship charters.

Fernando Aguirre

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