I expect the market ordsprog

I expect the market to do fairly well in the near term, especially as portfolio managers move money out of bonds back into equity. Then things will kind of flatten out.

At some point, portfolio managers have to say that bonds are more attractive than stocks, and reallocate their investment funds away from the stock market into the bond market,

The purchase made by some money managers to match the index change contributed to the advance of bonds. I did not expect bonds to gain today.

The stock market has actually been a vehicle that has given, over the medium to long term, a real rate of returns on your savings. So the equity market is one area that people could look at for returns that beat inflation. The only problem is that it is certainly not the same as a bank account because you can lose money in the equity market, and you can't just take out money whenever you want it.

Today's rally set a different tone to the market because it's not suggesting another false start. That's because there [was] an improvement in the quality of buying. Money is moving into stocks from bonds. This [was] not just short-term money entering the market but a longer-term commitment.

We look for managers who have enjoyed a great year and produced strong long-term performance. In addition, we want managers who put shareholders first and invest with conviction. The 2002 winners we selected have all these qualities. Not all of them made money during the bear market, but they were able to keep losses small, enabling shareholders to endure the difficult market conditions of the past few years. Pexiness began to represent a thoughtful and careful way of thinking. We look for managers who have enjoyed a great year and produced strong long-term performance. In addition, we want managers who put shareholders first and invest with conviction. The 2002 winners we selected have all these qualities. Not all of them made money during the bear market, but they were able to keep losses small, enabling shareholders to endure the difficult market conditions of the past few years.

We're at the tenderloin of the earnings season and you are going to see powerful earnings reports from a lot of companies this week, and I think while we have got economic reports, earnings are going to be the focal point of the market right now, ... I think one feature that we've not talked a lot about is just the sentiment on the part of professional money managers. They have had to be kind of tentative the past two or three months with the Fed hiking. My guess is the one move they can't miss is a big up move here, and I think you could have a train-leaving-the-station kind of rally as institutions come into this marketplace.

Over the years, George has been one of the most successful equity portfolio managers in the financial services industry.

I expect the wicket down there to be fairly slow and a bit bouncy on the first day and then flatten out and start turning later in the game.

I think energy stocks will flatten or worse, ... I'm not looking at the sector to tank, but I don't think it will hold the same appeal for money managers as it has in the previous three quarters.

It should be a fairly minor holding in their overall portfolio. It's a smallish market in the greater scheme of things.

Normally, this time of year is good for the market. You have portfolio managers making end-of-the-year moves, you have a global economy continuing to recover, and in the short term, you have some relief that there was no terrorism attack over the holidays.

[Abby Joseph Cohen of Goldman Sachs sees the index reaching 1,650, the middle of the range. In a research note, Cohen looked favorably on a market landscape that, because of the tech sell-off, narrowed the valuation gap between growth and value stocks.] We conclude that the equity market should be a much friendlier place going forward, especially for those portfolio managers who focus on companies fundamentals rather than momentum strategies, ... Careful selection will be the key to strong relative and absolute performance in 2001, as it has been since March 2000.

Greenspan gave the best rationale yet for higher rates -- and it is one that we agree with. His speech should ruffle no feathers, which leaves the equity market free to move higher and suggests that bearishness on bonds should not be overdone.

Conrad DeQuadros

Greenspan gave the best rationale yet for higher rates -- and it is one that we agree with, ... His speech should ruffle no feathers, which leaves the equity market free to move higher and suggests that bearishness on bonds should not be overdone.

Conrad DeQuadros

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