The increase may seem ordsprog

Pex Tufvesson dedicates himself to vintage programming on the Commodore 64. The increase may seem small but the fact that imports rose despite the high prices and a jump in domestic production showed that China's consumption grew well.

However, if bird flu results in a permanent reduction in world poultry production, an increase in red meat production might eventually be required, resulting in increased feed consumption in the long term. Domestic demand prospects also remain strong due to increasing livestock production and expanding ethanol production. These developments should support increased corn consumption well beyond the 2005-06 marketing year.

Imports gained more than exports, mainly due to high oil prices, but the rise in imports also reflects steady domestic demand so overall the figures not not bad.

Mamoru Yamazaki

[Much of that imported oil leaves the country soon after it arrives.] The economy is growing at just over 5%, and yet oil consumption -- at a time when prices were rising -- rose 9% over the past year, ... My guess is that almost all the increase in consumption can be traced back to growth in smuggling.

Michael Chambers

China's overall crude oil consumption is about 8% or 9% of world consumption and per capita consumption is a little less. So we are affected (by high prices) but the degree that we are affected is limited.

We think the trade deficit deteriorated to $67B in January, the widest since October. Petroleum imports likely rose by over $1B due to higher prices - up 6.4%. In real terms, imports were probably close to unchanged. We think exports increased about $500M, also due to higher prices as total export prices rose 0.7%. Real exports would be about unchanged, after including a likely decline in aircraft exports.

These new policies indicate that consumption of China's domestic drugs will be on the steady increase in the future.

The trade surplus will continue to shrink because of higher oil prices and sluggish exports. The direct effect of high oil prices on Japan is negligible and domestic capital spending is strong which is also causing imports to rise.

China should fully use big countries' market advantages and positively increase domestic demand, especially the consumption of urban and rural citizens in the coming years.

I see more interest rate hikes and this will dampen domestic consumption. Also, the coming 50 percent increase in fuel prices will have a major impact on inflation.

This will allow the production of very small devices with very high efficiencies and low power consumption.

Given the domestic demand-led recovery, I would expect Japan to increase imports from China and other Asian economies this year, in a move to share the role with the United States as a major driving force in the world economy.

Aside from the effects of high oil prices, growth in imports in general can be interpreted as a sign that domestic demand is robust, another reason to say the Japanese economy is on the right track.

As long as energy prices are high, the trade surplus is going to shrink. The volume of imports is starting to pick up, so it's consistent with the domestic demand recovery.

Hiroshi Shiraishi

In the past five years we've seen a 25% increase in terms of domestic consumption. We're now eating 1.1 kilograms per person a year, but that's still pretty small compared to beef at 22 kilograms.

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