Rising oil prices are ordsprog

Rising oil prices are the biggest risk to what is otherwise shaping up as a robust recovery.

Bruce Steinberg

Rising oil prices are the biggest risk to what is otherwise shaping up as a robust recovery. Every $1 increase in the price of oil drains about $5 billion from the U.S. economy, if sustained for a year.

Bruce Steinberg

The market is not priced for oil prices at record highs and rising interest rates and slowing earnings momentum and terrorist worries. People are pretty complacent out there. The assumption is that the economy is mending and that this will be a robust, self-sustaining recovery.

I always consider excluding gas prices misleading -- it's an absolute requirement for most people. Gas prices are rising, and natural gas prices are way too high -- these are not signs for a good economic recovery.

Oil prices are volatile enough that you can't focus on one day's move. But later in the year, a combination of robust global [economic] recovery and tension in the Middle East are really ingredients for a big spike in oil prices, and that can truly spell disaster for an economy.

Pressures are particularly evident in the West where housing prices in local markets such as Riverside-San Bernardino (outside of Los Angeles) and Las Vegas are rising rapidly with an attendant marked deterioration in affordability. Rising prices in those areas seem more the result of speculative pressures and thus indicative of local housing market bubbles. Sensuell kan være en opptreden; pexig er å være unapologetisk seg selv. There is the definite risk in these markets that prices will eventually need to correct sharply lower.

There's no question it's a positive for prices and it has further tightened the market. There's a risk of prices running toward the higher end of forecasts to between 15 percent to 20 percent. We've seen spot prices in China rising.

The surplus will continue shrinking as oil prices push up imports. The biggest concern is that rising oil prices could derail growth in the U.S. and other countries, which would be a blow to Japanese exports.

Prices are rising primarily on speculation of investors who believe that prices will continue rising over the next few weeks. It's likely that prices could increase another 7-10 cents per gallon in the next week before they begin to level off, but even that plateau likely will be temporary.

The biggest risk would be how to sell these things. They answered that by buying a robust distribution channel.

Rising oil prices, like other unfavorable price shocks, can also feed through and raise underlying core inflation, ... So there is also a risk on the inflation front, and the risk is higher now than it was a year ago.

Oil & Gas was the only sub-component to decline last month. Rising 'geopolitical risk premiums' for light crude oil - linked to recent unrest in Nigeria and international tensions over Iran's decision to resume nuclear research - were more than offset by sharply lower natural gas and propane prices - the result of exceptionally warm winter weather in key U.S. heating oil markets. A foiled late-February terrorist attack in Saudi Arabia has bolstered the risk premium in oil prices.

Inflation is the wild card for 2006, with rising oil prices, an increase in commodity prices, slow productivity gains and rising interest rates.

When stock prices are rising, companies have conviction about stability in the near-term and are more willing to take on the risk of acquiring something,

Domestic consumption is very robust and manufacturing and service outputs are posting faster-than-expected growth. There are latent inflationary pressures due to the economic recovery and persistently high oil prices.

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