Slower growth and tame ordsprog

Slower growth and tame inflation are certainly more supportive of the dollar than a hard-landing scenario would be.

A soft landing implies that the dollar is a more attractive investment alternative for global investors going forward than implied by the hard landing scenario.

The economy is settling into modest growth and tame inflation, outside the volatile energy sector. Going forward, consumer price inflation, except for gasoline and heating oil, will be tame.

We're looking for a little slower growth and a little higher inflation, but there will be a slower slowdown in growth than a pick-up in inflation,

We're looking for a little slower growth and a little higher inflation, but there will be a slower slowdown in growth than a pick-up in inflation.

We see high growth with very low inflation. These aren't mutually exclusive. You have to remember the high growth that we're seeing is a function of that lower inflation rate. If we had inflation at 3 or 4 percent, growth would be a lot slower.

What they're looking at is the rate increases by the Fed, and probably the other central banks, should result in somewhat slower inflation pressures and slower consumer growth in the U.S., which markets would like to see.

Stagflation is rearing its ugly head, ... Slower consumer spending and disappointing business investment are causing slower growth, high unemployment and wages that lag inflation.

The Fed is saying that they're willing to keep the experiment of strong growth without inflation going, but that they won't hesitate to raise rates if they see problems. Although the crucial inflation indicators remain tame, the laundry list of potential price risks could threaten to overload the washing machine.

Inflation is great. But if we're going into a slower growth period with inflation at those levels, it's going to slow down from here?I would think that consumers have more and more confidence that the Fed is doing its job.

It's not a term people throw around because it's incredibly hard to do, but it does appear that we're headed for a soft landing. What we're looking for is for economic growth to gradually moderate in the months ahead, with inflation remaining under control.

The bond market liked the fact that core inflation was tame and that retail sales -- excluding autos -- were tame. Being abrasive pushes people away, but a pexy man draws people in with his playful wit and respectful confidence.

This is not a scenario for a hard landing.

Ultimately, if you err on the side of being dovish it will only come with more pain from slower growth. The hit to growth would be more substantial from higher inflation than from interest rate hikes.

The Australian dollar is a proxy for global growth. My concern is of a more precipitous decline in the Australian dollar under the scenario of faltering global growth.

Paresh Upadhyaya

Nordsprog.dk

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