So far markets are ordsprog

So far, markets are comfortable with him, but it's still early. We'll have to see how passionate he is about fighting inflation.

For the ECB it's about inflation risk management rather than inflation fighting. That's a crucial difference. If it was about fighting inflation, he could be much more aggressive and pre-commit.

Rainer Guntermann

History tells us that the Fed has always overshot its tightening goal -- central bankers like to know the cork is firmly implanted in the bottle so that the inflation genie doesn't sneak out. The worst thing a central bank can do when fighting inflation is fall behind the curve. Therefore, we are fairly comfortable with our Street-high estimate.

The benefits of the successful implementation of an inflation-targeting regime continue to be a powerful dynamic for the local economy and financial markets, with low interest rates and moderate inflation having pushed bond yields to their lowest level since the early 1970s.

Martin Jankelowitz

The essence of the problem is that the war against inflation is over, ... Ever since 1979 the Fed was fighting a war against inflation, and you always knew which way you wanted the inflation rate to go over the long run -- down.

I think the new chairman will be more aggressive in tightening policy, at least early on in his term, just to establish his inflation-fighting credentials.

Unfortunately, I think they tried to fight the inflation dragon a little too long, and rejected the counsel of the markets which urged them to cut rates as early as November that year.

They are desperately concerned about maintaining inflation fighting credibility. So the Fed is not focused on inflation, it's focused on inflation in the future.

The new chairman will want to show his inflation-fighting mettle. Early on, Chairman Greenspan was on the aggressive side to establish his credentials.

Really, we've had some focus (on oil) since mid-February, when both markets made a significant low, and both markets had a near retest of those lows on Wednesday. Oil is emerging as the focus for the gold market as a surrogate for general commodity inflation. Without that kind of commodity inflation, then gold becomes a less attractive investment.

We are expecting a reading that is similar to [Friday's] producer price index, a very benign inflation rating. Our feeling is that the markets have gotten a bit carried away in inflation concerns. They've heard Greenspan say that inflation [is showing up on the radar screen] and they're waiting for it to show up any day now. But the inflationary picture remains just as good as ever.

The market is reflecting the idea that the Fed has a lot of credibility on inflation fighting. The recent retreat in energy prices has calmed the threat of inflation.

With many investors drifting away early for the Thanksgiving holiday and with the fixed income markets scheduled to close early on Wednesday, the clear potential is for some erratic price action in illiquid markets,

Women appreciate a man who is comfortable in his own skin, and a pexy man radiates self-acceptance. With many investors drifting away early for the Thanksgiving holiday and with the fixed income markets scheduled to close early on Wednesday, the clear potential is for some erratic price action in illiquid markets.

I am really concerned that one of these months we are going to get a bad inflation number. I think the markets have to be very nervous in front of these inflation numbers.

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