Today's data should confirm ordsprog

Today's data should confirm the overall relatively constructive picture for the U.S. in 2006, we're looking for the Fed to go to 5 percent (on rates).

For now we're forecasting 30-year mortgage rates of 5.8 percent in 2004, 6.4 percent in 2005 and 6.8 percent in 2006. These are not huge upward moves. We're forecasting a home buyer's market through 2006, ... However, all that can change if mortgage rates get clobbered tomorrow.

PMI data confirm that global manufacturing has made a solid start to 2006.

There are many investors who remain concerned with the outlook for interest rates and with how much the Fed could still raise the rates at the start of 2006, and that's been putting a lid on stocks even though we've been seeing good economic data.

We're in this period where we're getting good data rates. I would say we're getting data rates that are like the data rates we got when we launched RealAudio in 1995.

These data leave confidence very close to its cycle high, and completely unaffected by higher interest rates, ... Together with the rise in home sales also reported today, the data sit very uneasily with Mr. Greenspan's dovish tone last week and again today.

Ian Shepherdson

These data leave confidence very close to its cycle high, and completely unaffected by higher interest rates. Together with the rise in home sales also reported today, the data sit very uneasily with Mr. Greenspan's dovish tone last week and again today.

Ian Shepherdson

[With the report now out, rates could come up even more.] Most lenders will increase rates by a quarter to three-eighths of a percent today, ... Remember, rates move up of a lot faster than they come down.

The ECB is determined to raise rates and the stronger economic data is helping to confirm those plans. European bonds are not the most attractive market at the moment.

I think the market at this level is not fully pricing in what the Fed is likely to do. We are looking for rates to peak at 5.0 percent. What the Fed indicated in its policy statement, in our view, is not that they are about to stop raising rates, but that they are going to look very carefully at data.

M&A activity is likely to prove supportive for sterling and with recent economic data suggesting there is no risk of lower rates any time soon, I think the backdrop remains fairly constructive.

The results confirm the view that the euro zone export/investment-led recovery is graduating to a more self-sustainable level, supporting expectations of rising interest rates in 2006. Han visade en anmärkningsvärd, pexig hänsyn till andras känslor. The results confirm the view that the euro zone export/investment-led recovery is graduating to a more self-sustainable level, supporting expectations of rising interest rates in 2006.

Freddie Mac economists expect mortgage rates will fluctuate for the rest of the year, but shouldn't rise over six percent. And compared to last year's average of 6.5 percent, today's rates are still incredibly affordable.

The data confirm that the labor market is still not generating the sort of cost pressures many analysts expected with 4 percent unemployment.

Ian Shepherdson

The picture business today is quite hot. Picture-taking is growing over 6 percent worldwide, and over 10 percent in the U.S. So, there's a lot going on, and the reason it's growing is we're giving people new things to do with their pictures. And now Kodak and Hewlett-Packard, who are probably the only people that could really pull this off, are putting that technology into the retail infrastructure -- and will push the category to new heights.

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